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Current Win Probability
Espoon Palloseura 45%
Draw 23.9%
HJS 31.1%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
35.7%
23.5%
40.9%
Our Initial ML Estimation
36%
23.3%
40.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Espoon Palloseura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Espoon Palloseura's performance.
HJS has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and HJS might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Espoon Palloseura than the current prediction. (-9%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Espoon Palloseura that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for HJS than the current prediction. (+9.5%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that HJS could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Espoon Palloseura - HJS Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
30. Lehtinen L. (G) 8. Adawi O. 40. Ambasciano M. 24. Asikainen E. (C) 29. Haapalainen R. 70. Jouhi E. 15. Laine S. 20. Ojakangas E. 4. Paappanen E. 9. Pinomaa A. 17. Westerlund A.
12. Inkeroinen L. (G) 5. Ahokas V. 7. Ikonen A. 28. Janvier R. C. 17. Kajanto E. 27. Kyostila J. (C) 23. Lehtomaki A. 9. Lindberg V. 66. Nokkonen M. 26. Rautio R. 4. Supperi E.
Substitutes
25. Aho N. 21. Ljunglin M. 5. Margaritidis A. 6. Marshall P. 1. Mazur A. 23. Rokkonen M. 28. Ronni T. 10. Talvitie E.
18. Ahola J. 6. Ala T. 19. Haavisto R. 3. Junna M. 1. Meltoranta L. (G) 16. Nagy A. 21. Nieminen J. 25. Thompson G.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
32', 1 - 0, Haapalainen R. ⚽,
36', 1 - 1, Lindberg V. ⚽,
38', Nokkonen M. 🟨,
45', 2 - 1, Pinomaa A. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', Jouhi E. ↓, Aho N. ↑,
64', 3 - 1, Ambasciano M. ⚽,
69', Supperi E. 🟨,
71', Rautio R. ↓, Nieminen J. ↑,
71', Kajanto E. ↓, Nagy A. ↑,
71', Nokkonen M. ↓, Ala T. ↑,
72', Ambasciano M. 🟥,
77', Janvier R. C. ↓, Haavisto R. ↑,
78', Lehtomaki A. ↓, Ahola J. ↑,
78', Asikainen E. ↓, Ljunglin M. ↑,
78', Haapalainen R. ↓, Marshall P. ↑,
79', Ljunglin M. 🟨,
84', 4 - 1, Marshall P. ⚽,
87', Paappanen E. ↓, Margaritidis A. ↑,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, EPS won 3.
EPS is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 5 wins).
HJS has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).
EPS will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 8 head-to-head matches, EPS won 4 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:6. (average 1.6:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, EPS won 3 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 8:2. (average 2:0.5).
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Lehtinen L. (G) 
Janvier R. C. 
Margaritidis A. 
Marshall P. 
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