Match Info

Kakkonen Group A - Winners stage

Date: 13 September 2025, Saturday

Location: Kimpisen stadion (Lappeenranta)


	PEPO Lappeenranta		Honka

	1	X	2
	8.5	6.25	1.21
	8.9	6.7	1.22
	9.1	6.35	1.19
	6.32	5.27	1.35	Watch
	8.35	6.15	1.25
	6.25	5.25	1.28
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.9 ↑ (6.1)	6 ↑ (5.05)	1.25 ↓ (1.39)

The most likely Over/Under: 4.00

The best margin for this event is 8.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PEPO Lappeenranta
11.6%

Draw
15.3%

Honka
73.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

15.2%

18.3%

66.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

14.6%

17.6%

69.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PEPO Lappeenranta has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.6%)

Honka has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+6.7%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Honka's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PEPO Lappeenranta than the current prediction. (+3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Honka than the current prediction. (-4.1%)

PEPO Lappeenranta - Honka Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:3

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
23. Sorsa J. (C) 25. Jappinen J. 29. Junnikkala A. 22. Kotanen A. 4. Maijanen V. 33. Oinonen O. 26. Pesonen P. 7. Salminen M. 11. Sikanen E. 16. Suoraniemi S. 6. Turppo O.	30. Viljala V. (G) 17. Ahokas B. 3. Aijala E. 2. Hamalainen J. 11. Heikkinen B. 22. Jannes A. 28. Nyback I. 14. Pulla J. 6. Pyyskanen R. 4. Ramstrom A. (C) 8. Saarikivi N.
Substitutes
10. Enbuska J. 21. Enbuska J. 15. Erguner E. 13. Hinkkanen J. 45. Jammeh O. 19. Koistinen M. 12. Kuitto M. (G)	21. Arima S. 18. Heiskanen A. 24. Katajamaki P. 23. Liikonen K. 12. Serjala N. (G) 25. Takamaki T. 27. Venermo A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
13', 0 - 1, Heikkinen B. ⚽,
15', 0 - 2, Pulla J. ⚽,
23', 1 - 2, Suoraniemi S. ⚽,
33', 2 - 2, Suoraniemi S. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Jannes A. ↓, Venermo A. ↑,
46', Heikkinen B. ↓, Liikonen K. ↑,
46', Ramstrom A. ↓, Takamaki T. ↑,
46', Aijala E. ↓, Arima S. ↑,
57', 3 - 2, Suoraniemi S. ⚽,
67', Suoraniemi S. ↓, Erguner E. ↑,
67', Sikanen E. ↓, Hinkkanen J. ↑,
67', Maijanen V. ↓, Enbuska J. ↑,
74', Hamalainen J. ↓, Katajamaki P. ↑,
77', Pesonen P. ↓, Jammeh O. ↑,
84', Jammeh O. 🟨,
84', Salminen M. ↓, Enbuska J. ↑,
89', Oinonen O. 🟨,
90', 🟨,

Preview

PEPO has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Honka is showing excellent form with consecutive wins (last 5 games: 5 wins).

In this match, Honka is the undeniable favorite.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, PEPO won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 2:9. (average 0.7:3).

Including home matches between the teams, PEPO won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:5. (average 0.5:2.5).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PEPO Lappeenranta
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
07.09.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
03.09.25	MYPA - PEPO Lappeenranta	1:6 ✺
30.08.25	VJS Vantaa - PEPO Lappeenranta	7:0 ✺
16.08.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - JPS	7:0 ✺
09.08.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.1 WWLWL
- FC Honka
Finnish Kakkonen Group A
08.09.25	Honka - MYPA	6:1 ✺
04.09.25	Puistolan Urheilijat - Honka	1:2 ✺
30.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	3:1 ✺
16.08.25	Honka - Grankulla IFK	7:0 ✺
10.08.25	JPS - Honka	0:4 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.8 WWWWW

Latest Head to Head

Finnish Kakkonen Group A
26.07.25	PEPO Lappeenranta - Honka	1:2
24.05.25	Honka - PEPO Lappeenranta	4:1
Finnish Cup
03.03.18	PEPO Lappeenranta - Honka	0:3

PEPO Lappeenranta - Honka: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide