Match Info

Super League - Round 7

Date: 25 September 2025, Thursday

Location: Cendrawasih Stadium (Biak)

Where to Watch on TV:


Indonesia	Vidio


	PSBS Biak Numfor		Madura United

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.82	3.2	2.22	Watch
	3.04	3.21	2.45
	2.69	2.78	2.91	Watch
	2.93	3.15	2.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.87 ↑ (2.82)	3.09 ↓ (3.75)	2.46 ↑ (2.25)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSBS Biak Numfor
32.3%

Draw
30.1%

Madura United
37.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.3%

25%

41.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.4%

24.9%

41.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSBS Biak Numfor has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1%)

Madura United has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSBS Biak Numfor than the current prediction. (+1.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Madura United than the current prediction. (+4%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. PSBS Biak will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Madura United will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Tie (votes: 2 - 100%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

O/U 2.5 - over (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Madura United (1.57) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Madura United (1.31) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 4 Selected Experts predict this event. Madura United (votes: 2 - 50%). Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
41. Kadu (G) 26. Brown G. 6. Embalo S. (C) 5. Haji Haris N. 33. Pablo Andrade 27. Putra Y. 16. Lopez K. 20. Barbosa E. 77. Siregar R. 7. Blanco R. 10. Luquinhas	30. Saputra M. (G) 12. Rizki F. 3. Monteiro P. 95. Mendonca 6. Ruxi 5. Palic K. 4. Wehrmann J. 11. Lulinha (C) 24. Muslihuddin T. 9. Gryshyn V. 99. Kusuma A.
Substitutes
15. Agung A. 90. Alom N. 30. Armaiyn I. 3. Budiyono A. 98. Gwijangge S. 87. Hadi I. 9. Hassan M. 4. Hera Y. 23. Oktavianto L. 46. Solossa T. 94. Susanto H. 35. Wisnu A. (G)	77. Alesandro F. 26. Harlan A. (G) 45. Hidayat T. 36. Ilhamsyah 18. Kemaluddin M. 7. Nufiandani A. 44. Nurdiansyah 42. Ramzy F. 81. Razzaqu R. (G) 68. Rusadi A. 17. Sitanggang P. 37. Wehrmann J.
Coaches
Alves D.	Vera A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 0)
46', Siregar R. ↓, Susanto H. ↑,
46', Rizki F. ↓, Hidayat T. ↑,
61', Haji Haris N. 🟨,
65', Putra Y. ↓, Hadi I. ↑,
69', Hadi I. 🟨,
72', Lulinha (Pen),
75', Brown G. ↓, Agung A. ↑,
78', Gryshyn V. ↓, Alesandro F. ↑,
79', Lopez K. ↓, Hassan M. ↑,
86', Muslihuddin T. ↓, Sitanggang P. ↑,
88', Wehrmann J. 🟨,
88', Hassan M. 🟨,
90+5', Wehrmann J. ↓, Nufiandani A. ↑,
90+5', Lulinha ↓, Ilhamsyah ↑,

Preview

We will watch a tense game between outsiders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 15).

PSBS Biak is currently in poor form (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Madura United has been unpredictable lately (in the last 5 games, wins – 1).

Madura United could have a small edge in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, PSBS Biak won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).

Including home match between the teams, PSBS Biak won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSBS Biak Numfor
Indonesian Super League
20.09.25	Dewa United - PSBS Biak Numfor	3:1 ✺
11.09.25	Semen Padang - PSBS Biak Numfor	1:2 ✺
29.08.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persik Kediri	1:2 ✺
23.08.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Persis Solo	2:2 ✺
18.08.25	PSBS Biak Numfor - Borneo Samarinda	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.3 LWLTL
- Madura United
Indonesian Super League
19.09.25	Java United - Madura United	4:1 ✺
12.09.25	Madura United - Bhayangkara	0:0 ✺
30.08.25	Bali United Pusam - Madura United	1:0 ✺
24.08.25	Madura United - Persita Tangerang	1:1 ✺
16.08.25	Persik Kediri - Madura United	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.8 LTLTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
08.02.25	Madura United - PSBS Biak Numfor	0:0
17.09.24	PSBS Biak Numfor - Madura United	2:1

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