The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
PSIS Semarang 59.4%
Draw 22.7%
Tornado Pekanbaru 17.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
30.9%
28.7%
40.4%
Our Initial ML Estimation
29.7%
27.6%
42%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
PSIS Semarang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+28.5%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSIS Semarang's performance.
Tornado Pekanbaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-22.5%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Tornado Pekanbaru might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (-29.7%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with PSIS Semarang that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tornado Pekanbaru than the current prediction. (+24.1%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Tornado Pekanbaru could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
PSIS Semarang - Tornado Pekanbaru Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
52. Darmawan R. (G) 20. Akbar H. 99. Beto 10. Denilson 50. Dutra O. (C) 13. Fadilah A. 96. Hidayat M. 91. Rafinha 69. Rumbino D. 4. Saputro R. 11. Vizcarra E.
25. Bahari P. (G) 16. Alhafiz H. 4. Anwar S. 6. Aprianto R. 10. Felipe Ryan 18. Fiqri B. 14. Firmansyah F. 12. Harjito A. 13. Prasetyo A. 30. Ragil M. 27. Sukarno D. (C)
Substitutes
77. Al Ayyubi F. 45. Buddin S. 33. Chanigio O. 32. Delpi S. 23. Febrianto W. 7. Gustur CP 70. Hidayat T. 8. Infantrie T. 21. Okta R. (G) 2. Sanjaya I. 3. Simanca A. 31. Sulistia K.
28. Ahoren M. 21. Akbar F. 5. Al Ghony J. 11. Alkanza Y. 66. Al Maruf G. 77. Diaz A. 22. Hajar I. 97. Mansur Y. 3. Morales J. 9. Patrick 90. Yudha M. (G) 99. Yudo K.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
46', Rumbino D. ↓, Infantrie T. ↑,
60', 1 - 0, Beto (Penalty Awarded),
63', Fiqri B. 🟨,
64', Harjito A. ↓, Yudo K. ↑,
64', Firmansyah F. ↓, Al Ghony J. ↑,
71', Hidayat M. 🟨,
76', Ragil M. ↓, Mansur Y. ↑,
76', Fiqri B. ↓, Ahoren M. ↑,
76', Beto ↓, Febrianto W. ↑,
81', Fadilah A. 🟨,
82', Denilson ↓, Al Ayyubi F. ↑,
82', Hidayat M. ↓, Chanigio O. ↑,
84', Felipe Ryan ↓, Diaz A. ↑,
88', Akbar H. 🟨,
90+7', Akbar H. 🟨,
Preview
Semarang has been quite unpredictable recently (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Tornado Pekanbaru is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins โ 3).
In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Semarang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 1:7. (average 0.5:3.5).
Including home match between the teams, Semarang won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:3.