The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Tornado Pekanbaru 38.7%
Draw 30.4%
Persipura Jayapura 30.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
51.5%
26%
22.6%
Our Initial ML Estimation
53.3%
25.1%
21.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Tornado Pekanbaru has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-12.8%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Tornado Pekanbaru's form might have worsened.
Persipura Jayapura has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.3%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persipura Jayapura's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Tornado Pekanbaru than the current prediction. (+14.6%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Tornado Pekanbaru, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persipura Jayapura than the current prediction. (-9.1%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persipura Jayapura, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
34. Hamdani T. (G) 6. Aprianto R. 10. Felipe Ryan 18. Fiqri B. 57. Firmansyah A. 22. Hajar I. 3. Morales J. 13. Prasetyo A. 30. Ragil M. 27. Sukarno D. (C) 99. Yudo K.
36. Al Hakim A. (G) 3. Artur 16. Dusay A. 10. Lugo W. 33. Mandowen G. (C) 88. Mansaray V. 44. Ragil B. 23. Rumakiek R. 7. Salampessy R. 14. Sanadi R. 12. Sunuk R.
Substitutes
28. Ahoren M. 16. Alhafiz H. 11. Alkanza Y. 4. Anwar S. 20. Arifin S. 25. Bahari P. (G) 31. Ferdiansa M. 14. Firmansyah F. 12. Harjito A. 97. Mansur Y.
6. Amohoso Y. 19. Kamuru A. 5. Kansai S. 22. Madjar M. 8. Osas Saha 21. Pae Y. 17. Pahabol F. 29. Reimas S. (G) 86. Solossa B. 82. Sroyer J. 11. Todd Ferre 43. Uopmabin F.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (1 - 0)
3', 1 - 0, Yudo K. ⚽, Ragil M. (A),
26', Ragil M. 🟨,
40', Yudo K. ↓, Alkanza Y. ↑,
45+1', Artur 🟨,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 2 - 0, Ragil M. ⚽, Prasetyo A. (A),
63', Ragil B. 🟨,
69', Mandowen G. ↓, Pahabol F. ↑,
69', Rumakiek R. ↓, Solossa B. ↑,
76', Ragil B. ↓, Sroyer J. ↑,
76', Salampessy R. ↓, Madjar M. ↑,
86', Sunuk R. ↓, Uopmabin F. ↑,
86', Felipe Ryan ↓, Harjito A. ↑,
86', Firmansyah A. ↓, Alhafiz H. ↑,
87', Ragil M. ↓, Arifin S. ↑,
90+2', 2 - 1, Lugo W. ⚽, Solossa B. (A),
Preview
Tornado Pekanbaru is in very good shape right now (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Persipura Jayapura's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins โ 2).
Tornado Pekanbaru may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.
Tornado Pekanbaru might have a minor edge in this game.
In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Tornado Pekanbaru won 2 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).
Including home match between the teams, Tornado Pekanbaru won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 1:0.
Indonesia
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Hamdani T. (G) 
Felipe Ryan 
Morales J. 
Lugo W. 
Mansaray V. 
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