Match Info

Championship - Round 7

Date: 25 October 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished

Location: Stadion Teladan (Medan) 🌤️ ...

Where to Watch on TV:

Country	Kick-Off	TV Channels
Indonesia	19:00	Sin Po, Vidio


	PSMS Medan		PSIS Semarang

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.40	3.40
	1.90	3.25	3.30	Watch
	2.05	3.18	3.49
	1.89	3.59	3.59	Watch
	2.02	2.9	3.45
	1.98	3.46	3.46
	1.95	3.2	3.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.95 ↓ (2.17)	3.28 ↑ (3.1)	3.46 ↑ (2.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSMS Medan
46.3%

Draw
27.5%

PSIS Semarang
26.2%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

40.8%

28.5%

30.7%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.7%

27.1%

29.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSMS Medan has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in PSMS Medan's performance.

PSIS Semarang has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSIS Semarang than the current prediction. (+3%)

PSMS Medan - PSIS Semarang Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
65. Nurdin R. (G) 5. Arrahim B. 21. Chan I. 96. Hutagalung A. 3. Meneses A. (C) 10. Phillerson 19. Putra P. 15. Rangga M. 9. Siverio J. 14. Utama R. 2. Utina R.	96. Redondo R. (G) 8. Abimanyu S. 25. Arjunsyah A. 10. Bustos J. 91. Cadenazzi F. 7. Corfe D. 15. Fabiano Beltrame 13. Fiqri B. 41. Fisabilillah A. 30. Gandrung Y. 33. Komang Tri (C)
Substitutes
24. Albar A. 4. Alhafiz H. 28. Alim Z. 8. Cahya A. 55. Gufron A. 22. Gunandi A. (G) 17. Hidayat T. 1. Natshir M. (G) 68. Rahman F. 13. Saputra D. 27. Syahputra R. 54. Tampubolon R.	20. Akbar H. 19. Ariansyah R. 11. Hamdi M. 22. Hari Nur 70. Hidayat T. 16. Khadafi M. 1. Rahayu R. (G) 27. Ridwan F. 77. Sabda L. 32. Septiawan R. D. 97. Setyo A. 31. Sulistia K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
22', 1 - 0, Utama R. ⚽, Putra P. (A),
31', 2 - 0, Siverio J. ⚽,
38', Siverio J. 🟥,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
90+8', 2 - 1, Ridwan F. ⚽, Hari Nur (A),

Preview

Two table neighbours face each other in what promises to be a tight contest (ranked 3rd and 5th).

PSMS Medan is in solid form heading into this fixture (last 5 matches: 3 wins).

Semarang has shown an inconsistent pattern in recent weeks (last 5 matches: 1 win).

PSMS Medan may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.

A closely fought contest is anticipated, with PSMS Medan holding a narrow advantage.

In the last 5 head-to-head meetings, PSMS Medan has recorded 2 wins, 0 draws, and 3 losses, with a goal aggregate of 9:10 (averaging 1.8:2 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for PSMS Medan against this opponent, the record stands at 2 wins, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 7:4 goals (averaging 2.3:1.3 per game).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSMS Medan
Indonesian Championship
17.10.26	Semen Padang - PSMS Medan	1:1 ✺
11.10.26	PSPS Riau - PSMS Medan	2:1 ✺
03.10.26	PSMS Medan - Persikad Depok	4:0 ✺
27.09.26	Adhyaksa Bekasi - PSMS Medan	0:1 ✺
20.09.26	PSMS Medan - Persatuan Kota Pasuruan	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.2 TLWWW
- PSIS Semarang
Indonesian Championship
17.10.26	PSGC Ciamis - PSIS Semarang	0:0 ✺
09.10.26	PSIS Semarang - Persiraja Banda Aceh	1:3 ✺
03.10.26	PSIS Semarang - Adhyaksa Bekasi	1:0 ✺
27.09.26	Persatuan Kota Pasuruan - PSIS Semarang	PSIS Semarang Awarded ✺
20.09.26	Semen Padang - PSIS Semarang	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.1 TLW?T

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
12.09.18	PSMS Medan - PSIS Semarang	2:3
15.04.18	PSIS Semarang - PSMS Medan	4:1
Indonesian Championship
25.11.17	PSMS Medan - PSIS Semarang	2:0 ET
07.10.17	PSMS Medan - PSIS Semarang	3:1
21.09.17	PSIS Semarang - PSMS Medan	2:1

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