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Current Win Probability
Semen Padang 44.2%
Draw 28.3%
PSMS Medan 27.5%
Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)
41%
28%
31%
Our Initial ML Estimation
41.5%
28.4%
30.6%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Semen Padang has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.2%)
PSMS Medan has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Semen Padang than the current prediction. (-2.7%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSMS Medan than the current prediction. (+3.1%)
Semen Padang - PSMS Medan Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Lineups
Starting Lineups
12. Al Giffari I. (G) 26. Cukovic I. 20. Firjatullah M. 8. Hargianto M. 28. Hehanussa R. 6. Lilipaly S. 96. Savio Roberto 11. Setiawan N. 88. Slamat A. 9. Spasojevic I. 27. Tahar S. (C)
1. Natshir M. (G) 5. Arrahim B. 96. Hutagalung A. 7. Jauhari I. 3. Meneses A. (C) 10. Phillerson 19. Putra P. 15. Rangga M. 9. Siverio J. 14. Utama R. 2. Utina R.
Substitutes
77. Botan K. 5. Gutawa E. 93. Junior 2. Kaffa B. 18. Kemaluddin M. 98. Maring A. 66. Maulana D. 10. Mofu I. 42. Pangestu A. 7. Pratama I. 91. Rahmat 1. Rani M. (G)
24. Albar A. 4. Alhafiz H. 28. Alim A. 21. Chan I. 22. Gunandi A. (G) 17. Hidayat T. 65. Nurdin R. (G) 13. Saputra D. 54. Saputra D. 27. Syahputra R.
Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
27', Utina R. 🟨,
38', Phillerson 🟨,
44', Slamat A. ↓, Maring A. ↑,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
46', Utina R. ↓, Alhafiz H. ↑,
50', Setiawan N. 🟨,
50', Rangga M. 🟨,
53', Hargianto M. 🟨,
60', Lilipaly S. ↓, Rahmat ↑,
60', Spasojevic I. ↓, Junior ↑,
62', Hehanussa R. 🟨,
62', Utama R. ↓, Alim A. ↑,
68', Firjatullah M. ↓, Pangestu A. ↑,
69', Jauhari I. ↓, Chan I. ↑,
78', Arrahim B. 🟨,
82', Maring A. 🟨,
88', Cukovic I. 🟨,
90+6', 0 - 1, Siverio J. ⚽,
90+14', 1 - 1, Maring A. ⚽,
Preview
A direct battle for position between neighbouring teams in the table (ranked 5th and 3rd).
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Semen Padang won 2.
In recent outings, Semen Padang has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
PSMS Medan shows confident form ahead of this contest (last 5 matches: 3 wins).
In this match, both teams have fairly balanced chances of victory.
In the last 7 head-to-head meetings, Semen Padang has recorded 2 wins, 3 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 10:9 (averaging 1.4:1.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Semen Padang against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 1 draw, and 1 loss, with 5:4 goals (averaging 1.7:1.3 per game).
Indonesia
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Al Giffari I. (G) 
Cukovic I. 
Savio Roberto 
Meneses A. (C) 
Siverio J. 
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