Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 27

Date: 11 March 2025, Tuesday

Location: Maguwoharjo Stadium (Yogyakarta)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	K-Vision, Vidio


	PSS Sleman		Persis Solo

	1	X	2
				Watch
	2.05	3.2	3.1
	2.85	3.2	2.3	Watch
	3.18	3.2	2.37
	2.97	3.22	2.39	Watch
	2.2	3.1	3
	2.99	3.2	2.37	Watch
	2.85	3.2	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.73 ↑ (2.18)	3.19 ↓ (3.25)	2.55 ↓ (3.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 4.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

PSS Sleman
34.2%

Draw
29.2%

Persis Solo
36.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

42.2%

28.3%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

43.1%

28.9%

28.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

PSS Sleman has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that PSS Sleman's form might have worsened.

Persis Solo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Persis Solo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (+8.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for PSS Sleman, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Persis Solo than the current prediction. (-7.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Persis Solo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	62.5%	12.5%

PSS Sleman - Persis Solo Predictions

Users Predictions: 8 users predict this event. Sleman will win (votes: 2 - 25%). Persis Solo will win (votes: 1 - 12.5%). It will Tie (votes: 5 - 62.5%).
Confidence interval (95%) for a draw: 29% – 96%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
12. Alan (G) 55. Hariono J. 4. Cleberson (C) 6. Gomes K. 96. Lestaluhu A. 10. Vico 77. Sitanggang P. 33. Hamisi W. 20. Simanjuntak R. 9. Caraka H. 24. Cardoso N.	1. Riyandi M. (G) 15. Numberi G. 30. Taufik E. 70. Cleylton 34. Tutuarima J. 78. Fariz Z. 14. Yamamoto S. (C) 20. Belleggia L. 25. Sidibe M. 35. Jhon Cley 91. Sanjaya R.
Substitutes
5. Alhawari S. 8. Betinho 87. Figo A. 11. Gustavo Tocantins 7. Marcelo Cirino 72. Mutzi C. 78. Nanda I. 32. Rizky E. (G) 16. Zidan A.	77. Alesandro F. 36. Alrizky A. 6. Aziz A. 3. Eduardo Kunde 7. Jauhari I. 8. Kaka A. 26. Miziar R. 31. Pandenuwu G. (G) 16. Rizky Dwi 9. Sananta R. 63. Wahyudi R.
Coaches
Huistra P.	Ong K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Cardoso N. ⚽,
15', Cleylton 🟨,
19', Sidibe M. (Pen),
22', Belleggia L. 🟨,
28', Lestaluhu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 4)
46', Sanjaya R. ↓, Alrizky A. ↑,
46', Fariz Z. ↓, Sananta R. ↑,
46', Sitanggang P. ↓, Betinho ↑,
52', Gomes K. 🟨,
53', Betinho 🟨,
56', Caraka H. ↓, Gustavo Tocantins ↑,
56', Hariono J. 🟨,
57', 1 - 1, Jhon Cley ⚽, Yamamoto S. (A),
67', 1 - 2, Belleggia L. ⚽, Sananta R. (A),
70', Hamisi W. ↓, Nanda I. ↑,
70', Vico ↓, Marcelo Cirino ↑,
74', Taufik E. ↓, Eduardo Kunde ↑,
74', Jhon Cley ↓, Jauhari I. ↑,
80', 1 - 3, Sidibe M. ⚽, Tutuarima J. (A),
82', Nanda I. 🟨,
84', Simanjuntak R. ↓, Mutzi C. ↑,
90+2', Belleggia L. ↓, Wahyudi R. ↑,
90+6', 1 - 4, Sidibe M. ⚽, Yamamoto S. (A),

Preview

This time only outsiders will meet in a game (ranked 17 in the zone Relegation and 15).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Sleman won 2.

Sleman is in awful shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Persis Solo is in super good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Sleman will have a mini benefit in this match.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Sleman won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 10:10 (average 1.3:1.3).

Including matches at home between the teams Sleman won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 6:4 (average 2:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
07.03.25	Persita Tangerang - PSS Sleman	1:2 ✺
03.03.25	PSS Sleman - Barito Putera	1:2 ✺
23.02.25	Java United - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
17.02.25	Arema - PSS Sleman	6:2 ✺
09.02.25	PSS Sleman - Bali United Pusam	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 WLLLL
- Persis Solo
Indonesian Super League
06.03.25	Persis Solo - Bali United Pusam	2:2 ✺
02.03.25	Borneo Samarinda - Persis Solo	0:1 ✺
21.02.25	Persis Solo - Semen Padang	1:1 ✺
14.02.25	Persik Kediri - Persis Solo	0:0 ✺
07.02.25	Persis Solo - Persebaya Surabaya	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.4 TWTTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
03.11.24	Persis Solo - PSS Sleman	0:2
08.11.23	Persis Solo - PSS Sleman	1:1
07.07.23	PSS Sleman - Persis Solo	2:2
21.02.23	Persis Solo - PSS Sleman	4:1
10.09.22	PSS Sleman - Persis Solo	2:1
Indonesian President Cup
11.06.22	Persis Solo - PSS Sleman	0:0
Indonesian Championship
10.10.17	PSS Sleman - Persis Solo	2:1

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