Match Info

INDONESIA: Liga 1 - Round 23

Date: 17 February 2025, Monday

Location: Kanjuruhan Stadium (Malang)

Where to Watch on TV:


India	Vision+
Indonesia	Indosiar, K-Vision, Vidio


	Arema		PSS Sleman

	1	X	2
				Watch
				Watch
	1.98	3.64	3.92
				Watch
	1.85	3.3	3.9
				Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.73)	3.47 ↓ (3.5)	3.91 ↑ (3.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Arema
49%

Draw
27%

PSS Sleman
24%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

51.3%

25.4%

23.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.6%

24.3%

22.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Arema has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.3%)

PSS Sleman has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arema than the current prediction. (+4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for PSS Sleman than the current prediction. (-1.6%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	33.3%	16.7%

Arema - PSS Sleman Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Arema will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Sleman will win (votes: 1 - 16.7%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
31. Lucas Frigeri (G) 12. Marasabessy M. 5. Thales 6. Guevara J. 87. Farisi A. 8. Fikri A. 32. Pablo Oliveira 72. Setiawan B. 11. Lokolingoy C. 30. Tuharea S. 94. Dalberto	12. Alan (G) 4. Cleberson (C) 19. Aryanto F. 6. Gomes K. 76. Dion D. 8. Betinho 96. Lestaluhu A. 55. Hariono J. 10. Vico 24. Cardoso N. 11. Gustavo Tocantins
Substitutes
22. Agung D. (G) 3. Aji B. 13. Balinsa S. G. 20. Choi Bo-Kyung 67. Fajar S. 96. Iksan M. 24. Rafli M. 23. Rifai M. 41. Santoso D. 27. Setiawan D. 21. Soares F. 7. Tito Hamzah	5. Alhawari S. 69. Bimazawawi M. 9. Caraka H. 87. Figo A. 33. Hamisi W. 7. Marcelo Cirino 32. Rizky E. (G) 20. Simanjuntak R. 77. Sitanggang P. 14. Wamu D.
Coaches
Ze Gomes	de Freitas U.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 2)
3', 1 - 0, Setiawan B. ⚽, Lokolingoy C. (A),
5', 1 - 1, Gustavo Tocantins ⚽, Betinho (A),
8', 1 - 2, Cardoso N. ⚽, Vico (A),
15', Pablo Oliveira 🟨,
25', Guevara J. 🟨,
37', Lestaluhu A. 🟨,
2nd Half (5 - 0)
46', Dion D. ↓, Figo A. ↑,
49', 2 - 2, Dalberto (Pen),
53', 3 - 2, Lokolingoy C. ⚽, Fikri A. (A),
60', Gomes K. ↓, Caraka H. ↑,
69', Setiawan B. 🟨,
74', Setiawan B. ↓, Balinsa S. G. ↑,
74', Tuharea S. ↓, Setiawan D. ↑,
77', Betinho ↓, Marcelo Cirino ↑,
77', Marasabessy M. ↓, Iksan M. ↑,
82', 4 - 2, Dalberto ⚽,
87', Iksan M. 🟨,
87', Aryanto F. ↓, Wamu D. ↑,
87', Cardoso N. ↓, Simanjuntak R. ↑,
90+6', Lucas Frigeri ↓, Agung D. ↑,
90+6', Lokolingoy C. ↓, Rafli M. ↑,
90+12', Figo A. 🟨,
90+12', 5 - 2, Rafli M. ⚽,
90+18', 6 - 2, Fikri A. ⚽, Rafli M. (A),

Preview

Team outsider and a mid-table team will meet during this match (ranked 10 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Arema won 1.

The competitors look crappy now.

Arema could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Arema is a favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Arema won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 12:15 (average 1.3:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Arema won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 8:1 (average 2:0.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Arema FC
Indonesian Super League
10.02.25	Arema - PSM Makassar	1:1 ✺
03.02.25	Arema - Bali United Pusam	1:0 ✺
24.01.25	Arema - Persib Bandung	1:3 ✺
19.01.25	Borneo Samarinda - Arema	3:1 ✺
11.01.25	Dewa United - Arema	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLLL
- PSS Sleman
Indonesian Super League
09.02.25	PSS Sleman - Bali United Pusam	1:2 ✺
02.02.25	Borneo Samarinda - PSS Sleman	1:0 ✺
26.01.25	PSS Sleman - Semen Padang	2:4 ✺
19.01.25	Persik Kediri - PSS Sleman	0:0 ✺
11.01.25	PSS Sleman - Persebaya Surabaya	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.1 LLLTW

Latest Head to Head

Indonesian Super League
20.09.24	PSS Sleman - Arema	3:1
15.04.24	PSS Sleman - Arema	4:1
30.09.23	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:1
26.01.23	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:0
05.08.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	0:0
13.01.22	Arema - PSS Sleman	2:0
19.09.21	PSS Sleman - Arema	2:1

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