Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CEARENSE - RELEGATION - ROUND 3

Date: 25 February 2023, Saturday


	Pacajus		Caucaia

	1	X	2
	2.25	2.9	3.05
	2.3	3.23	2.94
	2.4	2.9	2.88
	2.45	3.14	2.78
	2.4	3.05	2.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.36 ↑ (1.85)	3.04 ↓ (3.23)	2.89 ↓ (3.88)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pacajus
38.6%

Draw
29.9%

Caucaia
31.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.7%

28%

23.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.3%

27.2%

24%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.1%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Pacajus's form might have worsened.

Caucaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Caucaia's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+8.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Pacajus, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Caucaia, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
25%	50%	25%

Pacajus - Caucaia Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Pacajus will win (votes: 1 - 25%). Caucaia will win (votes: 1 - 25%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 50%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0.

Pacajus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Caucaia is in a first-class shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Caucaia could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

Recently Caucaia have a series of home games.

In this match Pacajus is a favorite.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 6-12.

Including matches at home between the teams Pacajus won 0 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 5-8.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
17.02.23	Pacajus - Barbalha	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Pacajus - Barbalha	4:2 ✺
28.01.23	Pacajus - Iguatu	1:2 ✺
25.01.23	Ceará - Pacajus	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 LLWLL
- Caucaia EC
Copa do Brasil
22.02.23	Caucaia - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.02.23	Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0 ✺
01.02.23	Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro	5:0 ✺
28.01.23	Caucaia - Ferroviário Fortaleza	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.7 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0
30.01.22	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1
08.01.22	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:1
10.03.21	Pacajus - Caucaia	2:4
10.02.21	Pacajus - Caucaia	0:0
29.02.20	Pacajus - Caucaia	2:3
05.01.20	Caucaia - Pacajus	0:0

Pacajus - Caucaia: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide