Match Info

BRAZIL: CAMPEONATO CEARENSE - RELEGATION - ROUND 4

Date: 28 February 2023, Tuesday 🏁 Finished


	Caucaia		Pacajus

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.5	5.1
	1.69	3.41	4.98
	1.67	3.3	5
	1.75	3.7	4.1
	1.62	3.4	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.66 ↓ (1.79)	3.46 ↓ (3.52)	4.8 ↑ (3.92)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Caucaia
54.8%

Draw
26.2%

Pacajus
18.9%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

50.9%

25.8%

23.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

25.1%

22.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Caucaia has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.3%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Caucaia than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+3.7%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	16.7%	33.3%

Caucaia - Pacajus Predictions

Users Predictions: 6 users predict this event. Caucaia will win (votes: 3 - 50%). Pacajus will win (votes: 2 - 33.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 16.7%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

Last 5 head-to-head matches Caucaia won 3.

Caucaia is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Pacajus is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Pacajus could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently opponents have a series of home games.

In this match Caucaia is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Caucaia to win the game is with odds 1.61.

Last 8 head-to-head matches Caucaia won 4 matches, drawn 4 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 13-7.

Including matches at home between the teams Caucaia won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 4-1.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Caucaia EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
25.02.23	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
Copa do Brasil
22.02.23	Caucaia - Tombense	0:0 ✺
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
16.02.23	Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro	1:0 ✺
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0 ✺
01.02.23	Caucaia - Guarani de Juazeiro	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.6 TTWWW
- Pacajus EC
Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
25.02.23	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1 ✺
17.02.23	Pacajus - Barbalha	1:2 ✺
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0 ✺
04.02.23	Pacajus - Barbalha	4:2 ✺
28.01.23	Pacajus - Iguatu	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.6 TLLWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Cearense
25.02.23	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1
07.02.23	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:0
30.01.22	Pacajus - Caucaia	1:1
08.01.22	Caucaia - Pacajus	2:1
10.03.21	Pacajus - Caucaia	2:4
10.02.21	Pacajus - Caucaia	0:0
29.02.20	Pacajus - Caucaia	2:3

Caucaia - Pacajus