The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Pacajus 45.6%
Draw 28.8%
Nacional de Patos 25.6%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
46.1%
28.4%
25.5%
Our Initial ML Estimation
48.1%
27.2%
24.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Pacajus has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
Nacional de Patos has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pacajus than the current prediction. (+2.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Nacional de Patos than the current prediction. (-1.2%)
Pacajus - Nacional de Patos Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Preview
During this match we will see a game between leader and a team of mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals) and 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D (Play Offs: 1/16~finals)).
Pacajus is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).
Recent matches Nacional de Patos is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).
Pacajus could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.
Pacajus will have a small advantage in this match.
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