Match Info

Liga MX U21 - Clausura - Round 17

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday


	Pachuca U21		UNAM Pumas U21

	1	X	2
	1.85	3.45	3.5
	1.92	3.54	3.52	Watch
	1.93	3.65	3.53
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.9 ↓ (1.95)	3.55 ↑ (3.38)	3.52 ↓ (3.61)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pachuca U21
48.2%

Draw
25.8%

UNAM Pumas U21
26%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

47.2%

27.3%

25.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

47.6%

27.5%

25.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pachuca U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

UNAM Pumas U21 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Pachuca U21 than the current prediction. (-0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for UNAM Pumas U21 than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

Pachuca U21 - UNAM Pumas U21 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
26', 1 - 0, ⚽,
43', 2 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
58', 3 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

The two neighboring teams will play an exciting match (ranked 8 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 6 in the zone Promotion ~ Liga MX U21 (Clausura ~ Play Offs: Quarter~finals))

Now, both teams are in good form.

Pumas U21 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Pachuca U21 is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pachuca U21 won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 3:4. (average 1.5:2).

Including home match between the teams, Pachuca U21 won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	W	L	L		Pts
8	UNAM Pumas U21	12	4	1	4	3	14:15	18
17	Pachuca U21	12	2	1	6	3	12:19	14

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Pachuca U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
22.04.26	Tijuana U21 - Pachuca U21	2:1 ✺
11.04.26	Pachuca U21 - Santos Laguna U21	4:0 ✺
04.04.26	Cruz Azul U21 - Pachuca U21	0:1 penalties ✺
07.03.26	Pachuca U21 - Puebla U21	0:0 ✺
27.02.26	Mazatlan U21 - Pachuca U21	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.3 LWWTW
- UNAM Pumas U21
Mexican Liga MX U21
21.04.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Juárez U21	3:2 ✺
17.04.26	Atlético San Luis U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:2 penalties ✺
12.04.26	UNAM Pumas U21 - Mazatlan U21	4:0 ✺
05.04.26	Guadalajara Chivas U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	3:4 penalties ✺
27.03.26	Necaxa U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 16.2 WWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Mexican Liga MX U21
22.11.25	Pachuca U21 - UNAM Pumas U21	1:2
19.11.25	UNAM Pumas U21 - Pachuca U21	2:2

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