Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 29

Date: 15 April 2024, Monday


	Paderborn II		Wegberg-Beeck

	1	X	2
	1.34	4.6	6.75
	1.33	5	8	Watch
	1.36	4.95	7.88
	1.37	4.88	7.88
	1.33	4.75	6.5
	1.35	4.82	7.55
	1.35	4.8	6.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.35 ↓ (1.64)	4.83 ↑ (4.04)	7.34 ↑ (4.45)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paderborn II
68.4%

Draw
19.1%

Wegberg-Beeck
12.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.4%

22.9%

20.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58.2%

22.2%

20.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paderborn II has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paderborn II's performance.

Wegberg-Beeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Wegberg-Beeck might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paderborn II than the current prediction. (-10.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paderborn II that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wegberg-Beeck than the current prediction. (+7.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Wegberg-Beeck could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paderborn II - Wegberg Beeck Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (3 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Vega Zambrano J. ⚽,
20', 2 - 0, Otto N. ⚽,
27', 3 - 0, Vega Zambrano J. ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 1)
74', 3 - 1, Braun T. ⚽,
90', 4 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 13 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Paderborn II has a chain of defeats in the last matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Wegberg-Beeck is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Paderborn II is absolute favorite.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Paderborn II won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- SC Paderborn II
German Regionalliga West
05.04.24	Köln II - Paderborn II	1:0 ✺
31.03.24	Paderborn II - Rödinghausen	0:0 ✺
15.03.24	Schalke 04 II - Paderborn II	3:0 ✺
09.03.24	Paderborn II - Borussia Mönchengladbach II	2:4 ✺
03.03.24	Wuppertal - Paderborn II	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.4 LTLLL
- FC Wegberg-Beeck
German Regionalliga West
06.04.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:2 ✺
31.03.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Rödinghausen - Wegberg-Beeck	5:1 ✺
09.03.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Schalke 04 II	5:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLLW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
20.10.23	Wegberg-Beeck - Paderborn II	3:2

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