Match Info

GERMANY: Regionalliga West - Round 28

Date: 6 April 2024, Saturday


	Wegberg-Beeck		Alemannia Aachen

	1	X	2
	7.25	4.75	1.31
	7.5	5	1.33
	8.02	5.01	1.35
	8.02	5.01	1.35
	7.75	4.75	1.32
	7.4	4.7	1.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	7.66 ↑ (4.1)	4.87 ↑ (4.1)	1.33 ↓ (1.67)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Wegberg-Beeck
12%

Draw
18.9%

Alemannia Aachen
69.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

22.4%

55.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

21.9%

56.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Wegberg-Beeck has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-10.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Wegberg-Beeck's form might have worsened.

Alemannia Aachen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Alemannia Aachen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Wegberg-Beeck than the current prediction. (+9.9%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Wegberg-Beeck, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Alemannia Aachen than the current prediction. (-12.7%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Alemannia Aachen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Wegberg Beeck - Alemannia Aachen Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 2)
67', 0 - 1, ⚽,
82', 0 - 2, ⚽,
87', 1 - 2, ⚽,

Preview

This match will be held between outsider and one of leaders (ranked 16 in the zone Relegation and 1 in the zone Promotion ~ 3. Liga).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Wegberg-Beeck won 1.

Wegberg-Beeck is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Aachen in the latest match got series victories and it is in excellent form (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Wegberg-Beeck could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Aachen is certain favorite.

Last 9 head-to-head matches Wegberg-Beeck won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 6 matches and goals 13-24.

Including matches at home between the teams Wegberg-Beeck won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6-9.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Wegberg-Beeck
German Regionalliga West
31.03.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Köln II	0:1 ✺
23.03.24	Rot-Weiß Ahlen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:1 ✺
16.03.24	Rödinghausen - Wegberg-Beeck	5:1 ✺
09.03.24	Wegberg-Beeck - Schalke 04 II	5:1 ✺
06.03.24	Lippstadt 08 - Wegberg-Beeck	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 LLLWL
- Alemannia Aachen
German Regionalliga West
30.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Köln	1:0 ✺
15.03.24	Köln II - Alemannia Aachen	0:2 ✺
08.03.24	Alemannia Aachen - Fortuna Düsseldorf II	2:1 ✺
02.03.24	Rödinghausen - Alemannia Aachen	1:1 ✺
24.02.24	Alemannia Aachen - Gütersloh	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 WWWTW

Latest Head to Head

German Regionalliga West
14.10.23	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:1
19.03.22	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	0:2
08.10.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	3:2
17.04.21	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	1:1
Club Friendly
16.08.19	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	3:2
German Regionalliga West
28.04.18	Alemannia Aachen - Wegberg-Beeck	4:2
28.10.17	Wegberg-Beeck - Alemannia Aachen	1:3

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