Match Info

Date: 11 October 2026, Sunday


	Padova		Carrarese

	1	X	2
	1.86	3.3	3.8	Watch
	1.93	3.50	3.70
	1.92	3.25	3.8
	1.99	3.5	4.19
	1.93	3.33	3.96	Watch
	1.91	3.2	4.1
	1.96	3.32	3.86	Watch
	1.93	3.4	3.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.93 ↓ (1.94)	3.35 ↓ (3.39)	3.9 ↑ (3.83)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 2.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padova
48.3%

Draw
27.8%

Carrarese
23.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

48.1%

27.5%

24.3%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.6%

27.2%

24.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padova has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

Carrarese has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padova than the current prediction. (+0.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Carrarese than the current prediction. (+0.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	0%	0%

Padova - Carrarese Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match features one of the top teams against an opponent battling near the bottom (ranked 6th in the Promotion - Serie B Playoffs - Quarter - finals and 20th in the Relegation).

Padova has experienced an up-and-down run in recent matches (last 5 matches: 2 wins).

Carrarese has suffered a run of successive defeats (last 5 matches: 0 wins).

Padova carries the favorite tag into this contest.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Padova has recorded 2 wins, 1 draw, and 0 losses, with a goal aggregate of 2:0 (averaging 0.7:0 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Padova against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 0 losses, with 1:0 goals.

Outrights of Italian Serie B for now

Padova: 2.65% Carrarese: 0.21%

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
6	Padova	5	2	1	2	5:6	-1	7
20	Carrarese	5	0	1	4	2:6	-4	1

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Calcio Padova
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Palermo - Padova	2:1 ✺
12.09.26	Padova - Ascoli	1:0 ✺
06.09.26	Cremonese - Padova	3:1 ✺
29.08.26	Padova - Verona	1:1 ✺
23.08.26	Pisa - Padova	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.6 LWLTW
- Carrarese Calcio
Italian Serie B
19.09.26	Carrarese - Benevento	0:1 ✺
12.09.26	Catanzaro - Carrarese	1:0 ✺
05.09.26	Carrarese - Empoli	0:1 ✺
29.08.26	Ascoli - Carrarese	1:1 ✺
22.08.26	Carrarese - Mantova	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.1 LLLTL

Latest Head to Head

Italian Serie B
10.02.26	Padova - Carrarese	1:0
31.08.25	Carrarese - Padova	0:0
Coppa Italia Serie C
23.11.16	Carrarese - Padova	0:1

Padova - Carrarese: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide