Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B1 - Play Offs - Semi-finals

Date: 22 November 2024, Friday


	Paduano		São Gonçalo

	1	X	2
	3.6	2.75	2.05
	3.7	2.85	2.08
	3.55	3	2.04
	3.82	2.88	2.09	Watch
	4.04	2.55	2.18
	3.7	2.85	2.08
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.74 ↑ (2.32)	2.81 ↓ (2.88)	2.09 ↓ (3.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 1.75

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paduano
24.3%

Draw
32.2%

São Gonçalo
43.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

31.5%

29.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.8%

31.7%

29.6%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paduano has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-14.8%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paduano's form might have worsened.

São Gonçalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+14.1%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting São Gonçalo's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paduano than the current prediction. (+14.5%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paduano, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (-13.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for São Gonçalo, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Paduano - São Gonçalo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
63', 0 - 1, Edmario ⚽,

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paduano EC
Brazilian Carioca B1
17.11.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	1:1 ✺
12.11.24	Paduano - Serrano FC	1:0 ✺
02.11.24	Pérolas Negras - Paduano	0:1 ✺
26.10.24	Paduano - Nova Cidade	0:1 ✺
19.10.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.6 TWWLT
- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Carioca B1
17.11.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	1:1 ✺
12.11.24	São Gonçalo - Artsul	0:1 ✺
06.11.24	Friburguense - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	São Gonçalo - São Cristóvão	4:0 ✺
26.10.24	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 TLTWW

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Carioca B1
17.11.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	1:1
19.10.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	0:0

Paduano - São Gonçalo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide