Match Info

BRAZIL: Carioca B1 - Round 9

Date: 12 November 2024, Tuesday


	São Gonçalo		Artsul

	1	X	2
	2.05	3.1	3.2
	2.1	3.1	3.35
	2.11	2.88	3.54
	2.12	2.98	3.56	Watch
	2.05	3.4	3.1
	2.07	3.05	3.47
	2.1	3.1	3.35
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.09 ↓ (2.74)	3.09 ↑ (2.99)	3.37 ↑ (2.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

São Gonçalo
43.6%

Draw
29.4%

Artsul
27%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.1%

30.3%

36.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

31.1%

32.2%

39%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

São Gonçalo has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in São Gonçalo's performance.

Artsul has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-9.6%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Artsul might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for São Gonçalo than the current prediction. (-12.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with São Gonçalo that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Artsul than the current prediction. (+12%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Artsul could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
71.4%	28.6%	0%

São Gonçalo - Artsul Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. São Gonçalo will win (votes: 5 - 71.4%). It will Tie (votes: 2 - 28.6%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 1)
87', 0 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

The most interesting match of the day. Two teams from the very top of the board will meet (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Carioca B1 (Play Offs: Semi~finals)).

São Gonçalo is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Recent matches Artsul is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

São Gonçalo could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

São Gonçalo will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 1 head-to-head matches São Gonçalo won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 1:3

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- São Gonçalo EC
Brazilian Carioca B1
06.11.24	Friburguense - São Gonçalo	0:0 ✺
02.11.24	São Gonçalo - São Cristóvão	4:0 ✺
26.10.24	Serrano FC - São Gonçalo	0:2 ✺
19.10.24	São Gonçalo - Paduano	0:0 ✺
12.10.24	Pérolas Negras - São Gonçalo	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.7 TWWTW
- Artsul FC
Brazilian Carioca B1
06.11.24	Artsul - Belford Roxo	4:0 ✺
26.10.24	Friburguense - Artsul	2:0 ✺
19.10.24	Artsul - São Cristóvão	2:1 ✺
12.10.24	Serrano FC - Artsul	0:1 ✺
04.10.24	Artsul - Paduano	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.2 WLWWL

Latest Head to Head

Brazilian Campeonato Carioca 2
27.09.20	Artsul - São Gonçalo	3:1

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