Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 24

Date: 10 March 2024, Sunday


	Padura		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.25	4.5
	1.76	3.14	4.52
	1.77	3.14	4.53
	1.74	3.25	4.68
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↑ (1.62)	3.2 ↓ (3.5)	4.56 ↓ (5.08)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padura
51.9%

Draw
28.3%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
19.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.1%

26%

17.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

58%

25.1%

17.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.2%)

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+6.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Padura, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-2.5%)

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Preview

In this match we will have an opportunity to see a game between team from the middle of a tournament table and a the outsider (ranked 11 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches Padura is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aurrerá Ondarroa is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Padura could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Padura is a favorite.

Last 3 head-to-head matches Padura won 1 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-3.

Including matches at home between the teams Padura won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 2-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
03.03.24	Basconia - Padura	1:0 ✺
24.02.24	Padura - Añorga	1:0 ✺
18.02.24	Alavés C - Padura	0:2 ✺
10.02.24	Padura - Deusto	0:2 ✺
03.02.24	Leioa - Padura	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17.6 LWWLW
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
02.03.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Touring KE	2:1 ✺
25.02.24	San Ignacio - Aurrerá Ondarroa	4:4 ✺
18.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Portugalete - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Derio	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.3 WTLLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
22.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	1:1
18.02.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Padura	2:0
15.10.22	Padura - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0

Padura - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide