Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 22

Date: 25 February 2024, Sunday


	San Ignacio		Aurrerá Ondarroa

	1	X	2
	1.88	3.3	3.5
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.84	3.19	3.54
	1.98	3.22	3.56
	1.95	3.4	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.92 ↑ (1.42)	3.3 ↓ (4.2)	3.48 ↓ (6.46)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 9.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

San Ignacio
46.9%

Draw
27.3%

Aurrerá Ondarroa
25.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

64.2%

21.7%

14.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

69.5%

20%

13%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

San Ignacio has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.3%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that San Ignacio's form might have worsened.

Aurrerá Ondarroa has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Aurrerá Ondarroa's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for San Ignacio than the current prediction. (+22.6%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for San Ignacio, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Aurrerá Ondarroa than the current prediction. (-12.9%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Aurrerá Ondarroa, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 7 and 18 in the zone Relegation).

Recent matches San Ignacio is playing changeable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Aurrerá Ondarroa has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

Aurrerá Ondarroa could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match San Ignacio is certain favorite.

Last 4 head-to-head matches San Ignacio won 2 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 6-3.

Including matches at home between the teams San Ignacio won 1 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 4-2.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club San Ignacio
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	Basconia - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
10.02.24	San Ignacio - Añorga	3:0 ✺
04.02.24	Alavés C - San Ignacio	0:2 ✺
28.01.24	San Ignacio - Deusto	0:1 ✺
20.01.24	San Ignacio - Leioa	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.8 LWWLW
- CD Aurrerá Ondarroa
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
18.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Beasain	2:3 ✺
11.02.24	Portugalete - Aurrerá Ondarroa	2:0 ✺
03.02.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Derio	0:2 ✺
27.01.24	Anaitasuna - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:0 ✺
21.01.24	Aurrerá Ondarroa - Urduliz	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.4 LLLLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
07.10.23	Aurrerá Ondarroa - San Ignacio	0:1
25.03.23	San Ignacio - Aurrerá Ondarroa	1:2
26.11.22	Aurrerá Ondarroa - San Ignacio	1:1
23.01.22	San Ignacio - Aurrerá Ondarroa	3:0

San Ignacio - Aurrerá Ondarroa: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide