Match Info

SPAIN: TERCERA RFEF - GROUP 4 - ROUND 17

Date: 20 January 2024, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Padura		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	2.7	2.7	2.6
	2.8	2.8	2.6
	2.83	2.75	2.58
	2.73	2.92	2.51
	2.8	2.8	2.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.77 ↑ (2.71)	2.79 ↑ (2.77)	2.58 ↓ (2.6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 9.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Padura
32.6%

Draw
32.3%

Lagun Onak
35.1%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.1%

32.4%

34.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.2%

32.5%

34.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Padura has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Lagun Onak has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Padura than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-0.7%)

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Preview

During this match we will watch a battle between a team from the middle of a tournament table and a leader (ranked 12 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

One and the other team get a very uncertain game.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 2 head-to-head matches Padura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 0-1.

Including matches at home between the teams Padura won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 0 matches and goals 0-0.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Padura
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.01.24	Vitoria - Padura	3:1 ✺
07.01.24	Padura - Pasaia	4:0 ✺
17.12.23	Padura - Urduliz	0:4 ✺
02.12.23	Touring KE - Padura	1:1 ✺
25.11.23	Padura - San Ignacio	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.4 LWLTT
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
13.01.24	Lagun Onak - Touring KE	1:2 ✺
07.01.24	San Ignacio - Lagun Onak	1:1 ✺
16.12.23	Lagun Onak - Beasain	0:1 ✺
03.12.23	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	1:2 ✺
25.11.23	Lagun Onak - Derio	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LTLWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
06.04.23	Lagun Onak - Padura	1:0
10.12.22	Padura - Lagun Onak	0:0

Padura - Lagun Onak

Match Info

Current Win Probability

Preview

Form

Latest Head to Head

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