Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 4 - Round 23

Date: 22 February 2026, Sunday


	Portugalete		Lagun Onak

	1	X	2
	1.6	3.55	4.85
	1.60	3.71	5.39	Watch
	1.57	3.5	5
	1.53	3.7	5.63
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.58 ↓ (1.63)	3.62 ↑ (3.55)	5.22 ↓ (5.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Portugalete
57.6%

Draw
25.1%

Lagun Onak
17.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.6%

25.9%

17.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

60.4%

24.3%

16.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Portugalete has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+1%)

Lagun Onak has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Portugalete than the current prediction. (+2.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Lagun Onak than the current prediction. (-1%)

Portugalete - Lagun Onak Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
16', 1 - 0, Aranburu I. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
62', 2 - 0, Aranburu I. ⚽,
88', 3 - 0, Perez A. ⚽,

Preview

One of today’s top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 4 (Play Offs: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 2.

Portugalete is currently enjoying a strong run with several victories in a row (last 5 games: 5 wins).

Lagun Onak is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, Portugalete is a strong favorite.

We predict that Portugalete will win today's game, with odds of 1.63.

In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Portugalete won 4 matches, drew 3 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:10. (average 1.4:1.1).

Including home matches between the teams, Portugalete won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 8:6. (average 1.3:1).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Lagun Onak	5	2	1	2	4:5	-1	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Club Portugalete
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.02.26	Deusto - Portugalete	1:2 ✺
07.02.26	Zarautz KE - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Portugalete - San Ignacio	2:1 ✺
24.01.26	Derio - Portugalete	0:1 ✺
18.01.26	Portugalete - Touring KE	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WWWWW
- CD Lagun Onak
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
14.02.26	Lagun Onak - San Ignacio	0:1 ✺
07.02.26	Derio - Lagun Onak	0:1 ✺
31.01.26	Lagun Onak - Touring KE	0:0 ✺
24.01.26	Alavés C - Lagun Onak	2:3 ✺
17.01.26	Lagun Onak - Aurrerá de Vitoria	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.1 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 4
12.10.25	Lagun Onak - Portugalete	2:3
01.11.24	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	0:1
03.12.23	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	1:2
19.03.23	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	1:0
19.11.22	Lagun Onak - Portugalete	1:1
26.02.22	Lagun Onak - Portugalete	1:1
24.10.21	Portugalete - Lagun Onak	2:1

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