Match Info

K League 2 - Round 10

Date: 3 May 2026, Sunday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Paju Frontier		Cheongju

	1	X	2
	2.15	3.1	3.2	Watch
	2.25	3.15	3
	2.3	3.34	3.37
	2.22	3.31	3.21	Watch
	2.2	3	3
	2.18	3.1	3.15	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.22 ↓ (2.39)	3.17 ↓ (3.21)	3.16 ↑ (2.93)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
41.6%

Draw
29.1%

Cheongju
29.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.1%

29.1%

31.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

39.2%

29%

31.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.5%)

Cheongju has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (-2.4%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Cheongju than the current prediction. (+2.6%)

Paju Frontier - Cheongju Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kim Min-seung (G) 2. Kim Min-Sung 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 22. Lee Min-Ki 40. Amos L. 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 18. Lee Jea-Ho 92. Baston B. 10. Lee Joon-Suk	21. Cho Sung-Hoon (G) 25. Bandeira 18. Jo Ju-yeong 4. Jo Yun-Seong 66. Lee Gang-Han 27. Min Ji-Hoon 16. Heo Seung-Chan 5. Kim Seon-Min (C) 14. Seo Jae-Won 11. Garcia M. 13. Lee J.
Substitutes
47. Choi Sang-yoon 81. Kim Min-Ho 77. Lee Chan-ho 16. Lee D. 88. Lee Taek-Geun 17. Park S. 34. Roh S. 1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 7. Walterson Silva	7. Bughridze I. 23. Cho Seong-Been (G) 77. Hong Seok-jun 42. Jeong Jin-Woo 47. Ju Na-moo 41. Kang Eui-Bin 99. Lee Chang-Hun 70. Lee Dong-Jin 9. Monteiro E.
Coaches
Nus G.	Quinta Rui

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
9', Choi Bum-Kyung 🟨,
32', Min Ji-Hoon ↓, Jeong Jin-Woo ↑,
2nd Half (0 - 0)
57', Cheon Hyeon-Byung 🟨,
71', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Roh S. ↑,
71', Lee Jea-Ho ↓, Choi Sang-yoon ↑,
74', Lee J. ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
74', Jo Ju-yeong ↓, Hong Seok-jun ↑,
75', Garcia M. ↓, Monteiro E. ↑,
77', Kim Min-Sung ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
87', Amos L. ↓, Kim Min-Ho ↑,
87', Choi Bum-Kyung ↓, Lee D. ↑,
90+5', Hong Seok-jun 🟨,
90+5', Hong Jeong-un 🟨,
90+5', Cheon Hyeon-Byung 🟨,

Preview

A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 6 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 14).

Both teams have been playing unpredictably.

Cheongju may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Paju Frontier is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Paju Frontier won 1 match, drew 2 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 1.3:0.7).

Including home match between the teams, Paju Frontier won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 0:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
11	Cheongju	26	5	14	7	31:41	-10	29
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
25.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	2:3 ✺
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Paju Frontier - Seoul E-Land	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Suwon - Paju Frontier	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 LWLWL
- Cheongju FC
South Korean K-League 2
26.04.26	Cheongju - Chungnam Asan	0:0 ✺
18.04.26	Cheongju - Gimhae	1:1 ✺
12.04.26	Cheonan City - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
05.04.26	Suwon Bluewings - Cheongju	0:0 ✺
29.03.26	Cheongju - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.5 TTTTL

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K3 League
04.09.22	Cheongju - Paju Frontier	2:2
08.05.22	Paju Frontier - Cheongju	0:0
18.07.21	Cheongju - Paju Frontier	0:2

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