Match Info

K League 2 - Round 9

Date: 25 April 2026, Saturday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
World	K League TV


	Paju Frontier		Gyeongnam

	1	X	2
	2.25	3.1	2.9	Watch
	2.3	3.15	2.92
	2.49	3.26	3.1
	2.38	3.2	3.02	Watch
	2.3	3	2.9
	2.32	3.02	2.96	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.34 ↓ (2.36)	3.12 (3.12)	2.97 ↓ (3.05)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 3.1%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
39.4%

Draw
29.5%

Gyeongnam
31.1%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

39.5%

29.9%

30.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

40%

29.5%

30.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Gyeongnam has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.5%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+0.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Gyeongnam than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
0%	33.3%	66.7%

Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam Predictions

Users Predictions: 3 users predict this event. Gyeongnam will win (votes: 2 - 66.7%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 33.3%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Kim Min-seung (G) 34. Roh S. 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 22. Lee Min-Ki 40. Amos L. 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 19. You Jae-jun 16. Lee D. 92. Baston B. 17. Park S.	25. Lee Bum-Soo (G) 39. Lucao 20. Lee Gyu-Baeg 26. Choi Jung-Won 27. Son Ho-Jun 44. Kim Jung-Hyeon 24. Yun Il-Lok 77. Kim Ha-min 2. Bae Hyun-Seo 90. Kim Hyeon-oh 9. Darnlei
Substitutes
47. Choi Sang-yoon 20. Hong Jeong-un 81. Kim Min-Ho 77. Lee Chan-ho 18. Lee Jea-Ho 10. Lee Joon-Suk 88. Lee Taek-Geun 1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 7. Walterson Silva	4. Choi Seong-Jin 21. Cho Jin-Hyuk 66. Cho Sang-Jun 22. Kim Hyeong-Won 18. Kim Seon-Ho 99. Lee Jung-Min 13. Lee Ki-Hyun (G) 6. Lim Eun-Su 10. Mbah C.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 1)
14', 0 - 1, Kim Jung-Hyeon ⚽,
22', Kim Jung-Hyeon 🟨,
26', Roh S. 🟨,
42', Lucao 🟨,
44', 1 - 1, Choi Bum-Kyung ⚽,
45+3', 2 - 1, Baston B. ⚽, Roh S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 2)
51', You Jae-jun 🟨,
60', Amos L. ↓, Lee Joon-Suk ↑,
60', Park S. ↓, Hong Jeong-un ↑,
60', Lee D. ↓, Lee Jea-Ho ↑,
61', Lee Gyu-Baeg ↓, Cho Sang-Jun ↑,
61', Yun Il-Lok ↓, Cho Jin-Hyuk ↑,
73', You Jae-jun 🟨,
73', Kim Ha-min 🟨,
78', Kim Ha-min ↓, Kim Seon-Ho ↑,
78', Baston B. ↓, Lee Taek-Geun ↑,
81', 2 - 2, Darnlei ⚽, Cho Sang-Jun (A),
81', Darnlei 🟨,
83', 2 - 3, Darnlei ⚽, Cho Jin-Hyuk (A),
85', Lee Min-Ki ↓, Choi Sang-yoon ↑,
90+1', Darnlei ↓, Choi Seong-Jin ↑,
90+1', Lucao ↓, Kim Hyeong-Won ↑,

Preview

One of the top teams will play against one of the outsiders (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 15).

The recent form of both competitors has been shaky.

Gyeongnam may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

Recently, Gyeongnam has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paju Frontier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Including home match between the teams, Paju Frontier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 0:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
9	Gyeongnam	25	8	10	7	31:30	1	34
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
19.04.26	Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma - Paju Frontier	0:1 ✺
11.04.26	Paju Frontier - Seoul E-Land	1:3 ✺
05.04.26	Paju Frontier - Gimhae	3:1 ✺
29.03.26	Suwon - Paju Frontier	2:1 ✺
21.03.26	Paju Frontier - Jeonnam Dragons	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 18.3 WLWLW
- Gyeongnam FC
South Korean K-League 2
18.04.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon Bluewings	0:1 ✺
04.04.26	Gyeongnam - Busan I Park	1:2 ✺
28.03.26	Ansan Greeners - Gyeongnam	1:1 ✺
22.03.26	Gyeongnam - Gimpo	1:0 ✺
14.03.26	Gyeongnam - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10 LLTWT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
23.03.24	Paju Frontier - Gyeongnam	0:1

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