Match Info

K League 2 - Round 21

Date: 8 August 2026, Saturday

Location: Paju Stadium (Paju)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Paju Frontier		Suwon

	1	X	2
	4	3.75	1.67	Watch
	4.00	3.50	1.70
	4.15	3.65	1.72
	4.62	3.85	1.79
	4.32	3.91	1.73	Watch
	4.55	3.65	1.75
	4.18	3.91	1.74	Watch
	4.1	3.65	1.73
Avarage Now (Initially)	4.24 ↑ (3.74)	3.73 ↑ (3.61)	1.73 ↓ (1.9)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 3.5%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paju Frontier
21.8%

Draw
24.8%

Suwon
53.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

25%

25.9%

49.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

24.5%

25.4%

50.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paju Frontier has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.2%)

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paju Frontier than the current prediction. (+2.7%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-3.3%)

Paju Frontier - Suwon Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:2

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Ryu Won-Woo (G) 34. Roh S. 20. Hong Jeong-un (C) 6. Cheon Hyeon-Byung 88. Lee Taek-Geun 27. Baez J. 8. Choi Bum-Kyung 4. Kim Hyun-Tae 18. Lee Jea-Ho 92. Baston B. 10. Lee Joon-Suk	21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 16. Jo Jin-Woo 22. Seo Jae-Min 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 7. Lee Jae-Won (C) 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 10. Matheus Frizzo 70. Jung Seung-Bae 99. Ha Jung-woo
Substitutes
9. Arias J. 81. Kim Min-Ho 13. Kim Min-seung (G) 2. Kim Min-Sung 77. Lee Chan-ho 22. Lee Min-Ki 5. Sim Min-Yong 7. Walterson Silva 19. You Jae-jun	29. Choi Gi-Yun 3. Derlan 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 91. Kim Do-Yoon 6. Kim Ji-hun 19. Kim K. 20. Lee Ji-Sol 27. Lee S. 18. Tsukagawa K.
Coaches
Nus G.	Park Kun-Ha

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
10', Baston B. 🟨,
2nd Half (0 - 1)
49', 🟨,
63', 0 - 1, Matheus Frizzo ⚽,
64', Kim Jeong-Hwan ↓, Choi Gi-Yun ↑,
65', Lee Joon-Suk ↓, You Jae-jun ↑,
70', Lee Jea-Ho ↓, Arias J. ↑,
70', Baez J. ↓, Walterson Silva ↑,
73', Lee Taek-Geun 🟨,
82', Matheus Frizzo 🟨,
89', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Tsukagawa K. ↑,
89', Jung Seung-Bae ↓, Kim Do-Yoon ↑,
89', Goo Bon-Cheul ↓, Lee Ji-Sol ↑,
90+3', Lee Taek-Geun ↓, Lee Min-Ki ↑,
90+3', Kim Hyun-Tae ↓, Sim Min-Yong ↑,
90+7', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Derlan ↑,

Preview

Watch a clash between a mid-table side and a current leader (ranked 10 and 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: )).

Recent performances by Paju Frontier have been up and down (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Suwon is currently in excellent shape (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paju Frontier may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Suwon is seen as the favorite.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Paju Frontier won 0 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
12	Paju Frontier	25	8	5	12	24:28	-4	29

Last Results with these Odds

Paju Frontier - the odds 3.74 are the expected chance of winning is 24.97%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paju Frontier
South Korean K-League 2
02.08.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Paju Frontier	1:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Bucheon - Paju Frontier	3:0 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
26.07.26	Paju Frontier - Ansan Greeners	0:1 ✺
19.07.26	Suwon Bluewings - Paju Frontier	0:0 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Paju Frontier - Gangneung	3:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.1 WLLTW
- Suwon FC
South Korean Cup
29.07.26	Gimcheon Sangmu - Suwon	2:1 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
25.07.26	Daegu - Suwon	1:2 ✺
18.07.26	Suwon - Seoul E-Land	2:2 ✺
South Korean Cup
15.07.26	Suwon - Pyeongchang United	3:2 ✺
South Korean K-League 2
10.07.26	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	5:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

South Korean K-League 2
29.03.26	Suwon - Paju Frontier	2:1

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