Match Info

K League 2 - Round 17

Date: 10 July 2026, Friday

Location: Suwon Sports Complex (Suwon)

Where to Watch on TV:


South-korea	Coupang Play
Usa	SportsEngine Play
World	K League TV


	Suwon		Jeonnam Dragons

	1	X	2
	1.7	3.9	4	Watch
	1.75	3.50	3.70
	1.72	3.8	4.05
	1.78	3.95	4.6
	1.76	3.87	4.22	Watch
	1.73	3.85	4.45
	1.74	3.99	4.09	Watch
	1.71	3.75	4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.74 ↓ (1.89)	3.83 ↑ (3.64)	4.14 ↑ (3.76)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 3.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Suwon
53.4%

Draw
24.2%

Jeonnam Dragons
22.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

49.5%

25.7%

24.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

50.5%

25.2%

24.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Suwon has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.9%)

Jeonnam Dragons has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.5%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Suwon than the current prediction. (-2.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Jeonnam Dragons than the current prediction. (+2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
95.2%	4.8%	0%

Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons Predictions

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Suwon (votes: 2 - 100%).

Users Predictions: Suwon will win (20 of 21 users predict this - 95.24%).
Confidence interval (95%): 86.13% – 100%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
21. Yang Han-Been (G) 25. Jang Young-Woo 5. Lee Hyeon-yong 20. Lee Ji-Sol 22. Seo Jae-Min 14. Goo Bon-Cheul 7. Lee Jae-Won 11. Kim Jeong-Hwan 10. Matheus Frizzo 91. Kim Do-Yoon 9. Matheus Babi	88. Lee Jun-Hee (G) 2. Yoo Ji-Ha 7. Choi Han-Sol 44. Noh Dong-Geon 3. Kim J. 14. Yoon Min-ho 77. Hong Won-Jin 47. Son Gun-ho 17. Kim Beom-Su 10. Valdivia 11. Jeong Ji-Yong
Substitutes
29. Choi Gi-Yun 3. Derlan 99. Ha Jung-woo 13. Jeong Min-Ki (G) 70. Jung Seung-Bae 6. Kim Ji-hun 19. Kim K. 27. Lee S. 18. Tsukagawa K.	27. Bughridze I. 1. Choi Bong-Jin (G) 24. Cho Young-Kwang 22. Hong Seok-Hyun 16. Ho S. 20. Jung T. 4. Ku Hyun-Jun 8. Park Tae-Yong 28. Yoon Young-seok
Coaches
Park Kun-Ha	Lim K.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
12', 1 - 0, Kim Jeong-Hwan ⚽, Jang Young-Woo (A),
40', 2 - 0, Matheus Babi ⚽, Matheus Frizzo (A),
45+3', Matheus Babi 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 0)
46', Noh Dong-Geon ↓, Hong Seok-Hyun ↑,
46', Kim Do-Yoon ↓, Jung Seung-Bae ↑,
51', 3 - 0, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Seo Jae-Min (A),
55', Son Gun-ho ↓, Bughridze I. ↑,
55', Yoon Min-ho ↓, Park Tae-Yong ↑,
59', 4 - 0, Matheus Frizzo ⚽, Matheus Babi (A),
60', Matheus Babi ↓, Ha Jung-woo ↑,
60', Seo Jae-Min ↓, Lee S. ↑,
67', Jeong Ji-Yong ↓, Yoon Young-seok ↑,
74', Lee Hyeon-yong ↓, Derlan ↑,
79', Kim J. 🟨,
81', Kim Beom-Su 🟨,
82', Matheus Frizzo ↓, Kim K. ↑,
87', Yoon Young-seok 🟨,
87', Jang Young-Woo 🟨,
90', Kim J. ↓, Ku Hyun-Jun ↑,
90+1', 5 - 0, Ha Jung-woo ⚽, Jung Seung-Bae (A),

Preview

This match features one of the leaders against an outsider (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ K League 2 (Play Offs: ) and 16).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 1.

In recent matches, Suwon has shown inconsistent form (last 5 games: 2 wins).

Jeonnam Dragons is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).

Recently, Suwon has had a series of away games.

Recently, Jeonnam Dragons has had a series of home games.

Suwon is expected to have a slight advantage in this match.

In the last 11 head-to-head matches, Suwon won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 4 matches, and goals 16:18. (average 1.5:1.6).

Including home matches between the teams, Suwon won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 10:13. (average 1.4:1.9).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Suwon FC	25	13	9	3	50:29	21	48
16	Jeonnam	25	4	9	12	28:43	-15	21

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Suwon FC
South Korean K-League 2
04.07.26	Ansan Greeners - Suwon	1:3 ✺
07.06.26	Cheonan City - Suwon	2:2 ✺
30.05.26	Suwon - Seongnam Ilhwa Chunma	0:0 ✺
23.05.26	Gyeongnam - Suwon	3:2 ✺
17.05.26	Chungnam Asan - Suwon	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.3 WTTLW
- Jeonnam Dragons
South Korean K-League 2
05.07.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Busan I Park	3:3 ✺
07.06.26	Gimpo - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2 ✺
31.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Seoul E-Land	0:1 ✺
23.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Gimhae	0:1 ✺
16.05.26	Jeonnam Dragons - Cheongju	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.5 TTLLT

Latest Head to Head

South Korean Cup
14.04.21	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	1:2 penalties
South Korean K-League 2
18.10.20	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	3:4
06.09.20	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2
28.06.20	Jeonnam Dragons - Suwon	1:2
02.10.19	Jeonnam Dragons - Suwon	3:2
01.09.19	Suwon - Jeonnam Dragons	2:2
11.05.19	Jeonnam Dragons - Suwon	1:2

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