Match Info

EUROPE: Conference League - Qualification - Quarter-finals

Date: 25 July 2024, Thursday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Higler D. (Ned)


	Paksi SE		AEK Larnaca

	1	X	2
	2.63	3.25	2.45	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.4
	2.75	3.4	2.45	Watch
	2.77	3.4	2.46
	2.75	3.36	2.47	Watch
	2.6	3.3	2.4
	2.72	3.32	2.5	Watch
	2.65	3.35	2.55
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.68 ↓ (3.02)	3.34 ↑ (3.25)	2.46 ↑ (2.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
34.5%

Draw
27.8%

AEK Larnaca
37.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

30.3%

28.2%

41.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

34.1%

25.1%

36.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4.2%)

AEK Larnaca has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-0.4%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for AEK Larnaca than the current prediction. (-0.8%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
28.6%	28.6%	42.9%

Paksi SE - AEK Larnaca Predictions

Users Predictions: 20 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 6 - 30%). AEK Larnaca will win (votes: 8 - 40%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 30%).
Confidence interval (95%) for AEK Larnaca: 18.5% – 61.5%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Szappanos P. (G) 12. Vas G. 2. Kinyik A. 23. Otvos B. 11. Osvath A. 21. Papp K. 5. Vecsei B. 22. Windecker J. 30. Szabo J. (C) 10. Haraszti Z. 9. Hahn J.	1. Alomerovic Z. (G) 28. Sanchez F. 15. Milicevic H. 27. Roberge V. 14. Garcia A. (C) 6. Jimmy Suarez 7. Ledes Gustavo 11. Faraj I. 10. Diemers M. 77. Gyurcso A. 9. Sol F.
Substitutes
8. Balogh B. 13. Bode D. 77. Gevay Z. 19. Horvath K. 17. Kocsis B. 20. Kovacs K. 26. Mezei S. 25. Simon B. (G) 7. Skribek A. 29. Toth B.	30. Andreou H. 19. Cabrera E. 23. Demetriou M. 22. Ekpolo G. 16. Gama B. 24. Henriques D. 29. Naoum G. 51. Paraskevas A. (G) 8. Rohden M. 20. Santos 38. Toumpas I. (G) 47. Vassiliou D.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Ferrando J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
17', 1 - 0, Haraszti Z. ⚽,
24', Vecsei B. 🟨,
41', Hahn J. ↓, Toth B. ↑,
42', Ledes Gustavo 🟨,
44', Papp K. 🟨,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
57', Gyurcso A. ↓, Santos ↑,
61', 2 - 0, Toth B. ⚽,
66', Sol F. ↓, Cabrera E. ↑,
67', Ledes Gustavo ↓, Rohden M. ↑,
74', 3 - 0, Otvos B. ⚽, Vecsei B. (A),
74', Alomerovic Z. 🟨,
75', Sanchez F. ↓, Ekpolo G. ↑,
75', Diemers M. ↓, Gama B. ↑,
81', Haraszti Z. ↓, Mezei S. ↑,
81', Vecsei B. ↓, Balogh B. ↑,
90', Toth B. ↓, Horvath K. ↑,
90', Papp K. ↓, Bode D. ↑,
90+2', Kinyik A. 🟨,

Preview

1st leg.

Recent matches Paksi SE is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

AEK Larnaca has a line of defeats in latest matches (in the last 5 games wins - 0).

AEK Larnaca could have advantage in physics - more days for rest in last days.

Recently AEK Larnaca have a series of guest games.

The possibility to win in this match is almost balanced for both teams.

Recently, the teams did not play each other.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
UEFA Europa League
18.07.24	Corvinul Hunedoara - Paksi SE	0:2 ✺
11.07.24	Paksi SE - Corvinul Hunedoara	0:4 ✺
Club Friendly
04.07.24	Bohemians Dublin - Paksi SE	4:1 ✺
30.06.24	Hebar Pazardzhik - Paksi SE	1:6 ✺
22.06.24	Paksi SE - Budaörsi SC	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.9 WLLWW
- AEK Larnaca
Club Friendly
17.07.24	AEK Larnaca - APOEL	0:0 ✺
13.07.24	Panathinaikos - AEK Larnaca	3:1 ✺
06.07.24	Cercle Brugge - AEK Larnaca	3:2 ✺
03.07.24	PAOK - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
29.06.24	Den Bosch - AEK Larnaca	2:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.2 TLLLL

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