Match Info

HUNGARY: OTP BANK LIGA - ROUND 14

Date: 6 November 2022, Sunday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Berke B. (Hun)


	Paksi SE		Budapest Honved

	1	X	2
	1.95	3.75	3.75
	1.93	3.6	3.3
	2.02	3.5	3.4
	1.96	3.55	3.35
	1.96	3.84	3.63
	1.95	3.4	3.4
	1.91	3.74	3.45
	1.97	3.6	3.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.96 ↓ (2.09)	3.62 ↑ (3.44)	3.46 ↑ (3.04)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
47.5%

Draw
25.6%

Budapest Honved
26.9%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

43.5%

26.5%

30%

Our Initial ML Estimation

44.4%

26%

29.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+4%)

Budapest Honved has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (-3.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Budapest Honved than the current prediction. (+2.5%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
58.8%	5.9%	35.3%

Paksi SE - Budapest Honved Predictions

Users Predictions: 17 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 10 - 58.8%). Honved will win (votes: 6 - 35.3%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 5.9%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paks: 35.4% – 82.2%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 6 and 9).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 1.

Paksi SE is in unsatisfactory shape (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Recent matches Honved is playing unstable (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paksi SE will have a small advantage in this match.

Last 35 head-to-head matches Paksi SE won 4 matches, drawn 16 matches, lost 15 matches and goals 32-50.

Including matches at home between the teams Paksi SE won 4 matches, drawn 8 matches, lost 5 matches and goals 18-19.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
29.10.22	Paksi SE - Vasas	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Videoton - Paksi SE	1:1 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.10.22	Balatonfüredi - Paksi SE	0:3 ✺
Hungarian NB I
15.10.22	Zalaegerszegi TE - Paksi SE	3:0 ✺
09.10.22	Paksi SE - Puskás Academy	1:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.6 LTWLL
- Budapest Honved FC
Hungarian NB I
29.10.22	Budapest Honved - Videoton	0:1 ✺
22.10.22	Zalaegerszegi TE - Budapest Honved	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
19.10.22	Szombathelyi Haladas - Budapest Honved	1:2 ✺
Hungarian NB I
15.10.22	Puskás Academy - Budapest Honved	1:0 ✺
08.10.22	Budapest Honved - Mezőkövesd-Zsóry	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.4 LWWLT

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
14.08.22	Budapest Honved - Paksi SE	3:3
02.04.22	Budapest Honved - Paksi SE	1:1
03.12.21	Paksi SE - Budapest Honved	2:3
21.08.21	Budapest Honved - Paksi SE	3:1
21.04.21	Paksi SE - Budapest Honved	2:0
03.02.21	Budapest Honved - Paksi SE	1:1
24.10.20	Paksi SE - Budapest Honved	0:0

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