Match Info

OTP Bank Liga - Round 30

Date: 4 May 2025, Sunday

Location: Sostoi Stadion (Székesfehérvár)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	M4 Sport


	Videoton		Paksi SE

	1	X	2
	2.7	3.5	2.38
	2.7	3.5	2.25
	2.7	3.6	2.3
	2.76	3.7	2.42
	2.83	3.65	2.28	Watch
	2.8	3.5	2.25
	2.83	3.52	2.31	Watch
	2.7	3.6	2.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↓ (2.76)	3.57 ↑ (3.52)	2.31 ↑ (2.3)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 4.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Videoton
33.8%

Draw
26%

Paksi SE
40.2%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

33.6%

26.3%

40.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

32.8%

25.7%

41.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Videoton has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

The chances for Paksi SE have remained the same compared to the initial analysis.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Videoton than the current prediction. (-1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+1%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
42.9%	0%	57.1%

Videoton - Paksi SE Predictions

Users Predictions: 7 users predict this event. Videoton will win (votes: 3 - 42.9%). Paks will win (votes: 4 - 57.1%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 1 Selected Experts predict this event. Videoton (votes: 1 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
57. Dala M. (G) 3. Petrov S. 4. Spandler C. 5. Kalandadze A. 16. Simut M. 27. Bedi B. 8. Melnyk B. 70. Holender F. 7. Milicevic I. 11. Stefanelli N. 77. Katona M.	25. Szappanos P. (G) 23. Otvos B. 12. Vas G. 30. Szabo J. 11. Osvath A. 26. Mezei S. 21. Papp K. 19. Horvath K. 14. Silye E. 13. Bode D. 29. Toth B.
Substitutes
53. Horvath T. 10. Kastrati L. 44. Kemenes B. (G) 15. Kovacs M. 33. Lakatos K. 1. Nagy G. (G) 30. Ominger G. 99. Peto M. 28. Sekularac K. 87. Viragh M.	7. Adam M. 6. Gyorfi M. 18. Gyurkits G. 9. Hahn J. 10. Haraszti Z. 28. Hinora K. 2. Kinyik A. 1. Kovacsik A. (G) 17. Varga R.
Coaches
Timar K.	Bognar G.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
14', Simut M. 🟨,
43', Stefanelli N. 🟨,
44', 0 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Mezei S. (A),
2nd Half (0 - 1)
55', Katona M. ↓, Peto M. ↑,
59', Otvos B. 🟨,
63', Toth B. ↓, Hinora K. ↑,
63', Holender F. ↓, Kastrati L. ↑,
74', Simut M. ↓, Kovacs M. ↑,
74', Stefanelli N. ↓, Sekularac K. ↑,
76', Mezei S. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
77', Bode D. ↓, Adam M. ↑,
81', 0 - 2, Otvos B. ⚽, Adam M. (A),
84', Milicevic I. 🟨,
88', Papp K. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Fehérvár won 2.

Fehérvár has suffered several defeats recently (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Paks is in very good shape now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

In this match, both teams are almost equally likely to win.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Fehérvár won 5 matches, drew 7 matches, lost 8 matches, and goals 26:27. (average 1.3:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Fehérvár won 2 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 13:12. (average 1.4:1.3).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Videoton FC
Hungarian NB I
26.04.25	Puskás Academy - Videoton	3:1 ✺
20.04.25	Videoton - MTK Budapest	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Nyíregyháza Spartacus - Videoton	1:0 ✺
06.04.25	Videoton - Zalaegerszegi TE	0:2 ✺
Hungarian Cup
03.04.25	MTK Budapest - Videoton	4:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 1.3 LTLLL
- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
26.04.25	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	2:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
22.04.25	Paksi SE - Zalaegerszegi TE	2:1 ✺
Hungarian NB I
19.04.25	Paksi SE - Puskás Academy	2:2 ✺
11.04.25	MTK Budapest - Paksi SE	1:2 ✺
05.04.25	Paksi SE - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 8.6 LWTWW

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
08.02.25	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:0
29.09.24	Videoton - Paksi SE	1:2
13.04.24	Paksi SE - Videoton	1:2
16.12.23	Videoton - Paksi SE	3:0
02.09.23	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:0
11.03.23	Paksi SE - Videoton	2:1
22.10.22	Videoton - Paksi SE	1:1

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