Match Info

NB I. - Round 13

Date: 8 November 2025, Saturday

Location: Fehérvári úti stadion (Paks)

Referee: Erdos J. (Hun)

Where to Watch on TV:


Hungary	Duna World / M4 Sport +


	Paksi SE		Kisvárda

	1	X	2
	1.8	4	3.75
	1.82	3.7	3.65
	1.84	3.8	4.07
	1.64	4.07	4.38	Watch
	1.81	4.01	3.76	Watch
	1.65	3.9	4.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.76 ↑ (1.64)	3.91 ↓ (4.07)	3.97 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 5.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paksi SE
52.8%

Draw
23.8%

Kisvárda
23.4%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

56.3%

22.7%

21.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.9%

24.9%

19.2%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paksi SE has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3.5%)

Kisvárda has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.3%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paksi SE than the current prediction. (+9.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paksi SE, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Kisvárda than the current prediction. (-4.2%)

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
50%	0%	50%

Paksi SE - Kisvárda Predictions

Users Predictions: 4 users predict this event. Paks will win (votes: 2 - 50%). Kisvárda will win (votes: 2 - 50%).

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Paks (votes: 1 - 50%). Kisvárda (votes: 1 - 50%).

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

BTTS - yes (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
1. Kovacsik A. (G) 21. Papp K. 2. Kinyik A. 30. Szabo J. 11. Osvath A. 22. Windecker J. 8. Balogh B. 19. Horvath K. 14. Silye E. 9. Hahn J. 13. Bode D.	30. Popovich I. (G) 24. Cipetic B. 3. Jovicic A. 5. Chlumecky M. 10. Soltesz D. 6. Popoola R. 14. Melnyk B. 7. Szabo S. 27. Mesanovic J. (C) 29. Biro B. 86. Novothny S.
Substitutes
27. Galambos J. 18. Gyurkits G. 10. Haraszti Z. 17. Hinora K. 23. Peto M. 25. Simon B. (G) 26. Szekszardi M. 5. Vecsei B. 20. Zeke M.	18. Kormendi K. 1. Kovacs M. (G) 42. Lippai T. 11. Matanovic M. 23. Medgyes S. 16. Molnar G. 55. Nagy K. 50. Olah B. 95. Pinter F. 70. Szor L. 99. Yordanov T.
Coaches
Bognar G.	Revesz A.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
24', 1 - 0, Hahn J. ⚽,
37', 1 - 1, Popoola R. ⚽,
40', Popoola R. 🟨,
45', Balogh B. 🟨,
2nd Half (4 - 2)
53', 2 - 1, Szabo J. ⚽, Silye E. (A),
58', 3 - 1, Hahn J. ⚽, Balogh B. (A),
58', 4 - 1, Bode D. ⚽, Windecker J. (A),
62', Melnyk B. ↓, Matanovic M. ↑,
62', Soltesz D. ↓, Medgyes S. ↑,
62', 4 - 2, Biro B. ⚽, Novothny S. (A),
68', Bode D. ↓, Gyurkits G. ↑,
71', Szabo S. ↓, Nagy K. ↑,
72', Chlumecky M. 🟨,
77', Cipetic B. 🟨,
78', 4 - 3, Biro B. ⚽, Mesanovic J. (A),
80', Hahn J. ↓, Haraszti Z. ↑,
80', Horvath K. ↓, Galambos J. ↑,
83', 5 - 3, Galambos J. ⚽,
86', Mesanovic J. ↓, Yordanov T. ↑,
86', Novothny S. ↓, Molnar G. ↑,
88', Silye E. ↓, Zeke M. ↑,
90+2', Gyurkits G. 🟨,
90+3', Popoola R. 🟨,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Conference League (Qualification: )).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Paks won 5.

Recent performances by Paks have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Kisvárda is showing top-class performance now (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Paks may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Recently, Paks has had a series of away games.

In this match, Paks is the team to beat.

In the last 20 head-to-head matches, Paks won 9 matches, drew 5 matches, lost 6 matches, and goals 31:27. (average 1.6:1.4).

Including home matches between the teams, Paks won 6 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 17:10. (average 1.7:1).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Paksi SE
Hungarian NB I
01.11.25	Győri ETO - Paksi SE	0:0 ✺
Hungarian Cup
29.10.25	Martfű - Paksi SE	1:4 ✺
Hungarian NB I
25.10.25	Diósgyőri - Paksi SE	2:1 ✺
18.10.25	Paksi SE - Debreceni	1:1 ✺
05.10.25	Ferencvárosi - Paksi SE	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.2 TWLTT
- Kisvárda SE
Hungarian NB I
31.10.25	Kisvárda - Nyíregyháza Spartacus	0:0 ✺
26.10.25	Kisvárda - Győri ETO	3:2 ✺
19.10.25	Kazincbarcikai - Kisvárda	0:1 ✺
05.10.25	Kisvárda - Diósgyőri	1:0 ✺
28.09.25	MTK Budapest - Kisvárda	4:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.8 TWWWL

Latest Head to Head

Hungarian NB I
03.08.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	1:5
Hungarian Cup
02.04.25	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1
Hungarian NB I
18.05.24	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	2:1
Hungarian Cup
23.04.24	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	2:1
Hungarian NB I
25.02.24	Kisvárda - Paksi SE	0:1
29.10.23	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	3:1
23.04.23	Paksi SE - Kisvárda	2:0

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