Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 9

Date: 1 November 2025, Saturday


	Palencia CA		Arandina

	1	X	2
	1.55	3.55	5.35
	3.87	1.31	17.21	Watch
	1.55	3.67	6.55
	1.63	3.45	5.2
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.15 ↑ (1.64)	3 ↓ (3.45)	8.58 ↑ (5)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
50.8%

Draw
36.5%

Arandina
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

55.5%

26.4%

18.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

59.2%

24.8%

17.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.7%)

Arandina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.5%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Arandina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (+8.4%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Palencia CA, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Arandina than the current prediction. (+4.4%)

Palencia CA - Arandina Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 0)
88', 1 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion and 12).

Palencia CA is showing really good form (last 5 games: 4 wins).

In recent matches, Arandina has shown inconsistent performance (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

In this match, Palencia CA is the team to beat.

We predict that Palencia CA will win today's game, with odds of 1.64.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 2:4. (average 1:2).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.10.25	Bembibre - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
19.10.25	Palencia CA - Santa Marta Tormes	2:1 ✺
11.10.25	La Virgen del Camino - Palencia CA	0:2 ✺
05.10.25	Palencia CA - Atlético Mansillés	1:2 ✺
27.09.25	Atlético Tordesillas - Palencia CA	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 17 WWWLW
- Arandina CF
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
26.10.25	Arandina - Villaralbo	2:0 ✺
18.10.25	Colegios Diocesanos - Arandina	2:0 ✺
12.10.25	Arandina - Unionistas B	2:1 ✺
05.10.25	Guijuelo - Arandina	2:0 ✺
27.09.25	Arandina - Leonesa B	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.5 WLWLL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
27.10.24	Arandina - Palencia CA	2:0
Club Friendly
24.08.22	Arandina - Palencia CA	2:2

Palencia CA - Arandina: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide