Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Play Offs - Semi-finalsDate: 23 May 2026, Saturday
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Palencia CA |
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Atlético Palencia |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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 |
1.95 |
3.1 |
3.65 |
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 |
1.91 |
3.16 |
3.95 |
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1.92 |
3.19 |
3.95 |
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1.91 |
3 |
3.8 |
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3.25 |
3.2 |
2.12 |
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Avarage Now
(Initially) |
2.19 ↓
(2.59) |
3.13 ↑
(3.1) |
3.49 ↑
(3.01) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.50
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by
#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Palencia CA
43% | Draw
30.1% | Atlético Palencia
26.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palencia CA's performance.Atlético Palencia has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-6.9%)Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palencia CA that the model has picked up on.ML Model estimates a higher probability for Atlético Palencia than the current prediction. (+5.9%)Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Atlético Palencia could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (1 - 0)
- 35', 1 - 0, Capi (Own goal),
- 2nd Half (0 - 0)
Preview
First leg result: 0-2.In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 1.Palencia CA is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 4 wins).Atlético Palencia has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).Atlético Palencia may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. The chances of victory for both teams are nearly identical in this match.In the last 7 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 3 matches, and goals 7:9. (average 1:1.3).Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 0 matches, drew 1 match, lost 2 matches, and goals 2:5. (average 0.7:1.7).
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 5 | Palencia CA | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 6:3 | 3 | 10 |
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| 10 | Palencia CF | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:6 | 1 | 7 |
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Last Results with these Odds
Atlético Palencia - the odds 3.01 are the expected chance of winning is 31.89%, but this team recently wins 18% of matches with these odds.
Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8 | | | 17.05.26 | Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA | 2:0 | | 28.03.26 | Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA | 0:1 | | 16.11.25 | Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia | 1:2 | | 02.03.25 | Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia | 1:1 | | 19.10.24 | Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA | 2:2 | | 05.05.24 | Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA | 0:2 | | 13.01.24 | Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia | 0:2 |
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