Match Info

Date: 23 April 2022, Saturday


	Palencia CA		Llanera

	1	X	2
	1.51	4	5
	1.6	3.55	5.2
	1.51	3.85	5.4
	1.52	4.13	6.1
	1.52	4.05	5.65
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.53 ↓ (1.74)	3.92 ↑ (3.4)	5.47 ↑ (4.24)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
59.8%

Draw
23.4%

Llanera
16.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

26.6%

21.4%

Our Initial ML Estimation

52.3%

26.4%

21.3%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+7.8%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Palencia CA's performance.

Llanera has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-7.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Palencia CA that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Llanera than the current prediction. (+4.5%)

Palencia CA - Llanera Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Preview

One of the leader and one of the outsider will meet in this game (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Segunda RFEF ~ Group 1 (Promotion ~ Play Offs) and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Palencia CA is in actual amazing shape (in the last 5 games wins - 3).

Llanera is in bad shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

In this match Palencia CA is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Palencia CA to win the game is with odds 1.56.

Last 1 head-to-head matches Palencia CA won 0 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 2-3.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
16.04.22	Ceares - Palencia CA	0:7 ✺
10.04.22	Palencia CA - Marino de Luanco	2:2 ✺
02.04.22	Langreo - Palencia CA	1:2 ✺
26.03.22	Palencia CA - Arenteiro	1:1 ✺
19.03.22	Arosa - Palencia CA	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.8 WTWTW
- UD Llanera
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
17.04.22	Llanera - Marino de Luanco	0:2 ✺
10.04.22	Arenteiro - Llanera	5:1 ✺
03.04.22	Llanera - Bergantiños	2:0 ✺
26.03.22	Leganés B - Llanera	1:0 ✺
20.03.22	Llanera - Móstoles URJC	2:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.5 LLWLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
05.12.21	Llanera - Palencia CA	3:2

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