Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 18

Date: 18 January 2026, Sunday


	Palencia CA		Villaralbo

	1	X	2
	1.78	3	4.55
	1.81	3.18	4.53
	1.8	2.9	4.6
	1.75	3.13	4.8
	1.78	3.14	4.5
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.78 ↓ (1.89)	3.07 ↑ (2.95)	4.6 ↑ (4.21)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.00

The best margin for this event is 8.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
50.8%

Draw
29.5%

Villaralbo
19.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

47.9%

30.6%

21.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

48.7%

30.1%

21.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.9%)

Villaralbo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palencia CA than the current prediction. (-2.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Villaralbo than the current prediction. (+1.4%)

Palencia CA - Villaralbo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (2 - 0)
67', 1 - 0, ⚽,
89', 2 - 0, ⚽,

Preview

One team leads the standings, the other sits mid-table (ranked 5 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 8 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Each of the teams is struggling with stability in their game.

Villaralbo may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palencia CA is the team to beat.

In the last 3 head-to-head matches, Palencia CA won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 3:0. (average 1:0).

Including home matches between the teams, Palencia CA won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0. (average 1:0).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Palencia CA	5	3	1	1	6:3	3	10
12	Villaralbo	5	1	2	2	9:7	2	5

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
11.01.26	Palencia CA - Colegios Diocesanos	3:1 ✺
03.01.26	Unionistas B - Palencia CA	0:0 ✺
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2 ✺
13.12.25	Leonesa B - Palencia CA	2:1 ✺
06.12.25	Palencia CA - Mojados	3:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.2 WTLLW
- GCE Villaralbo
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
10.01.26	Villaralbo - Mirandés B	1:1 ✺
04.01.26	Colegios Diocesanos - Villaralbo	1:2 ✺
20.12.25	Villaralbo - Unionistas B	0:0 ✺
14.12.25	Guijuelo - Villaralbo	1:0 ✺
06.12.25	Villaralbo - Leonesa B	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.2 TWTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
28.09.24	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	0:0
02.03.24	Palencia CA - Villaralbo	2:0
14.10.23	Villaralbo - Palencia CA	0:1

Palencia CA - Villaralbo: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide