Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 8 - Round 3

Date: 20 September 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Palencia CA		Guijuelo

	1	X	2
	2.45	2.75	2.80
	2.18	2.82	3.2
	2.26	2.9	3.29
	2.28	2.93	3.26	Watch
	2.2	2.85	3.25
	2.2	2.88	3.27
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.26 ↓ (2.43)	2.86 ↓ (3)	3.18 ↑ (2.8)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palencia CA
39.9%

Draw
31.6%

Guijuelo
28.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

37.3%

30.2%

32.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palencia CA has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.6%)

Guijuelo has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-4%)

Palencia CA - Guijuelo Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 0)

Preview

The probabilities of winning are closely matched between the two contenders.

In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Palencia CA has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 4:3 (averaging 1.3:1 goals per game).

Specifically in home fixtures for Palencia CA against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 4:2 goals (averaging 2:1 per game).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
1	Palencia CA	8	6	1	1	13:4	9	19
8	Guijuelo	7	4	0	3	12:6	6	12

Last Results with these Odds

Guijuelo - the odds 2.8 are the expected chance of winning is 32.41%, but this team recently wins 14% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palencia CA
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
05.09.26	Palencia CA - Bembibre	0:2 ✺
Club Friendly
22.08.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Tordesillas	1:1 ✺
15.08.26	Laredo - Palencia CA	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
23.05.26	Palencia CA - Atlético Palencia	1:0 ✺
17.05.26	Atlético Palencia - Palencia CA	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.7 LTTWL
- CD Guijuelo
Club Friendly
15.08.26	Atlético Tordesillas - Guijuelo	1:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 1
21.06.26	Tamaraceite - Guijuelo	2:0 ✺
14.06.26	Guijuelo - Tamaraceite	2:1 ✺
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
07.06.26	Guijuelo - Atlético Palencia	1:2 ET ✺
31.05.26	Atlético Palencia - Guijuelo	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.1 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 8
20.12.25	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	1:2
Spanish Segunda RFEF - Group 1
22.01.23	Palencia CA - Guijuelo	3:0
04.09.22	Guijuelo - Palencia CA	1:0

Palencia CA - Guijuelo