Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 3

Date: 27 February 2026, Friday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Palmeiras U20		Athletico Paranaense U20

	1	X	2
	1.38	4.35	6.5
	1.4	4.88	6.95
	1.38	4.66	6.71	Watch
	1.36	4.2	6.5
	1.33	4.6	7.6
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.37 ↓ (1.42)	4.54 ↑ (4.33)	6.85 ↑ (5.96)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 6.3%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
66.6%

Draw
20.1%

Athletico Paranaense U20
13.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.8%

21%

15.2%

Our Initial ML Estimation

65.7%

20.4%

14.8%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.8%)

Athletico Paranaense U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Athletico Paranaense U20 than the current prediction. (+1.5%)

Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
6', 1 - 0, Erick Bele ⚽,
12', 2 - 0, Erick Bele (Penalty Awarded),
2nd Half (1 - 2)
58', 2 - 1, Marezi L. ⚽,
66', 2 - 2, Marezi L. ⚽,
90+2', 3 - 2, Juliano ⚽,

Preview

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 3.

Palmeiras U20 is currently in amazing form (last 5 games: 3 wins).

Athletico PR U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 3).

Palmeiras U20 may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is the obvious favorite.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 5 matches, drew 1 match, lost 4 matches, and goals 19:18. (average 1.9:1.8).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 2 matches, and goals 15:12. (average 2.5:2).

Last Results with these Odds

Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.42 are the expected chance of winning is 63.8%, but this team recently wins 73% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brasileiro U20
23.02.26	Palmeiras U20 - São Paulo U20	3:3 ✺
20.02.26	Grêmio U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:5 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
19.01.26	Palmeiras U20 - Ibrachina U20	2:3 penalties ✺
17.01.26	Ituano U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:3 ✺
15.01.26	Palmeiras U20 - Flamengo de Guarulhos U20	2:1 penalties ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.3 TWLWW
- Athletico Paranaense U20
Brasileiro U20
24.02.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Cuiabá U20	2:0 ✺
20.02.26	Vasco da Gama U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	3:2 ✺
Brazilian Copinha
12.01.26	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Ceará U20	1:2 ✺
09.01.26	Araçatuba FC U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	1:2 ✺
06.01.26	Maricá U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 WLLWW

Latest Head to Head

Brasileiro U20
15.05.25	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1
11.09.24	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	3:1
24.04.24	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	3:2
29.04.23	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	0:1
01.09.22	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:1
29.08.22	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	5:2
20.07.21	Athletico Paranaense U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:0

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