The best margin for this event is 7.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Ituano U20 9.3%
Draw 17.8%
Palmeiras U20 72.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
16%
22.4%
61.7%
Our Initial ML Estimation
15.5%
21.8%
63.5%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Ituano U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.7%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Ituano U20's form might have worsened.
Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+11.2%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Palmeiras U20's recent form is better than expected.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Ituano U20 than the current prediction. (+6.2%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Ituano U20, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (-9.4%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Palmeiras U20, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.
Ituano U20 - Palmeiras U20 Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:2
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (1 - 1)
61', 1 - 0, ⚽,
90+1', 1 - 1, ⚽,
90+5', 🟥,
90+5', 🟥,
Preview
First leg.
A competitive mid-table side looks to challenge an upper-table opponent (ranked 11th in the Promotion and 2nd in the Promotion ~ Paulista U20 Playoffs1/16~finals)).
In recent outings, Ituano U20 has recorded mixed results (last 5 matches: 2 wins).
Palmeiras U20 is in good shape currently (last 5 matches: 4 wins).
Palmeiras U20 may face physical fatigue compared to their opponent, having played more matches in recent days.
Bookmakers give the edge to Palmeiras U20 for this game.
In the last 3 head-to-head meetings, Ituano U20 has recorded 1 win, 0 draws, and 2 losses, with a goal aggregate of 3:7 (averaging 1:2.3 goals per game).
Specifically in home fixtures for Ituano U20 against this opponent, the record stands at 1 win, 0 draws, and 1 loss, with 3:3 goals (averaging 1.5:1.5 per game).
Last Results with these Odds
Palmeiras U20 - the odds 1.45 are the expected chance of winning is 61.67%, but this team recently wins 85% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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