Match Info

Brasileiro U20 - Round 12

Date: 26 May 2025, Monday

Where to Watch on TV:


Brazil	SporTV


	Palmeiras U20		Flamengo RJ U20

	1	X	2
	1.53	3.8	5
	1.58	3.85	4.8
	1.65	3.98	4.75
	1.59	3.95	4.89	Watch
	1.53	3.8	5.5
	1.67	3.64	4.81
	1.58	3.85	4.8
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.59 ↑ (1.56)	3.84 ↓ (3.95)	4.94 ↑ (4.35)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmeiras U20
57.6%

Draw
23.9%

Flamengo RJ U20
18.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

57%

22.5%

20.5%

Our Initial ML Estimation

61.2%

21%

19.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmeiras U20 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.6%)

Flamengo RJ U20 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-1.9%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmeiras U20 than the current prediction. (+3.6%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Flamengo RJ U20 than the current prediction. (+0.5%)

Palmeiras U20 - Flamengo RJ U20 Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 1)
18', 0 - 1, Pedro Leao ⚽,
45+1', 1 - 1, Thalys ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
51', 2 - 1, Thalys ⚽,

Preview

One of the most interesting matches of the day, featuring two top-table teams (ranked 1 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Brasileiro U20 (Play Offs: Quarter~finals)).

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 2.

Palmeiras U20 is in fantastic form, winning most of its recent matches (last 5 games: 4 wins).

Flamengo U20's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Palmeiras U20 may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Palmeiras U20 is a strong favorite.

We predict that Palmeiras U20 will win today's game, with odds of 1.59.

In the last 10 head-to-head matches, Palmeiras U20 won 5 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 11:13. (average 1.1:1.3).

Including home matches between the teams, Palmeiras U20 won 4 matches, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmeiras U20
Brazilian Paulista U20
24.05.25	São Bento U20 - Palmeiras U20	0:4 ✺
Brasileiro U20
21.05.25	Fortaleza U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:2 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
18.05.25	Palmeiras U20 - Água Santa U20	6:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.05.25	Palmeiras U20 - Athletico Paranaense U20	2:1 ✺
Brazilian Paulista U20
11.05.25	Santo Andre U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:7 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5 WTWWW
- Flamengo RJ U20
Brasileiro U20
21.05.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Juventude U20	1:1 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
17.05.25	Botafogo RJ U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	4:1 ✺
Brasileiro U20
15.05.25	São Paulo U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:2 ✺
Brazilian Copa Rio U20
10.05.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Botafogo RJ U20	0:2 ✺
Brasileiro U20
07.05.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Bahia U20	2:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 TLWLW

Latest Head to Head

Copa Libertadores U20
16.03.25	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:1 penalties
Brasileiro U20
17.04.24	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:2
07.09.23	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	1:0 penalties
Copa do Brasil U20
12.11.22	Palmeiras U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:0 penalties
Brasileiro U20
19.06.22	Palmeiras U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	1:3
14.07.21	Palmeiras U20 - Flamengo RJ U20	3:1
04.11.20	Flamengo RJ U20 - Palmeiras U20	2:1

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