Match Info

Serie D - Group G - Round 19

Date: 11 January 2026, Sunday 🏁 Finished


	Palmese 1914		Trastevere

	1	X	2
	2.78	3.2	2.3
	2.77	3.29	2.34	Watch
	2.69	3.22	2.32
	2.75	3.25	2.33
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.75 ↑ (2.69)	3.24 ↓ (3.28)	2.32 ↑ (2.32)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 9.2%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Palmese 1914
33%

Draw
28%

Trastevere
39%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

33.5%

27.5%

38.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

33.8%

27.8%

38.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Palmese 1914 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)

Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.1%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Palmese 1914 than the current prediction. (+0.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-0.5%)

Palmese 1914 - Trastevere Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 0)
2nd Half (3 - 0)

Preview

Enjoy a meeting between a mid-ranked team and one of the leaders (ranked 13 in the zone Serie D ~ Group G (Play Out: ) and 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).

Palmese 1914 has had mixed results lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Trastevere is in great form at the moment (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Recently, Trastevere has had a series of home games.

In this match, both teams have almost equal chances to win.

The teams have not played against each other recently.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	Trastevere Calcio	9	4	3	2	13:16	-3	15

Last Results with these Odds

Trastevere - the odds 2.32 are the expected chance of winning is 38.95%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Palmese 1914
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.01.26	Anzio - Palmese 1914	0:0 ✺
21.12.25	Monastir - Palmese 1914	1:2 ✺
14.12.25	Palmese 1914 - Scafatese	1:1 ✺
07.12.25	Ischia Isolaverde - Palmese 1914	3:1 ✺
29.11.25	Palmese 1914 - Latte Dolce	0:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.8 TWTLL
- Trastevere Calcio
Italian Serie D - Group G
04.01.26	Trastevere - Nocerina	4:1 ✺
21.12.25	Trastevere - Anzio	3:3 ✺
14.12.25	Albalonga - Trastevere	2:2 ✺
06.12.25	Trastevere - Olbia	2:2 ✺
29.11.25	Trastevere - Monastir	4:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 7.7 WTTTW

Palmese 1914 - Trastevere