The best margin for this event is 9.3%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Trastevere 44.5%
Draw 27.6%
Nocerina 27.9%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
38.6%
27.2%
34.3%
Our Initial ML Estimation
39.2%
26.8%
33.8%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Trastevere has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.9%)
Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Trastevere's performance.
Nocerina has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-6.4%)
Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Nocerina might be facing challenges that affect their performance.
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Trastevere than the current prediction. (-5.3%)
Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Trastevere that the model has picked up on.
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Nocerina than the current prediction. (+5.9%)
Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Nocerina could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.
Trastevere - Nocerina Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (2 - 1)
8', 1 - 0, Giordani V. ⚽,
9', 1 - 1, Giannone L. ⚽,
45+1', 2 - 1, Lorusso D. ⚽,
2nd Half (2 - 0)
54', 3 - 1, Icardi S. ⚽,
82', 4 - 1, Crescenzo D. ⚽,
Preview
One of todayโs top clashes will feature two teams fighting for the top spots (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: ) and 3 in the zone Promotion ~ Serie D ~ Group G (Play Offs: )).
Recent performances by Trastevere have been up and down (last 5 games: 1 wins).
Nocerina is currently in poor form (in the last 5 games, wins โ 0).
Trastevere will hold a modest advantage in this match.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Trastevere won 3 matches, drew 1 match, lost 1 match, and goals 7:4. (average 1.4:0.8).
Including home matches between the teams, Trastevere won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 1:2. (average 0.5:1).
Standings
Pl
W
D
L
Diff
Pts
6
Trastevere Calcio
6
3
2
1
8:10
-2
11
Last Results with these Odds
Trastevere - the odds 2.34 are the expected chance of winning is 38.58%, but this team recently wins 63% of matches with these odds.
Watch
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