Match Info

Date: 24 October 2021, Sunday


	Paloma Hamburg		Barmbek-Uhlenhorst

	1	X	2
	1.27	5.75	7
	1.25	5	7
	1.3	5.2	6.8
	1.34	5.3	7.74
	1.31	5.35	7.3
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.29 ↓ (1.51)	5.32 ↑ (4.5)	7.17 ↑ (4.95)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.50

The best margin for this event is 6.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paloma Hamburg
70.2%

Draw
17.1%

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
12.7%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61%

20.5%

18.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.4%

13.9%

27.4%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paloma Hamburg has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+9.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Paloma Hamburg's performance.

Barmbek-Uhlenhorst has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-5.9%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Barmbek-Uhlenhorst might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Paloma Hamburg than the current prediction. (-28.8%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Paloma Hamburg that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Barmbek-Uhlenhorst than the current prediction. (+14.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Barmbek-Uhlenhorst could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Paloma Hamburg - Barmbek Uhlenhorst Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

Let's enjoy game between two mid-table teams (ranked 4 and 6).

Paloma is in a very good shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Recent matches Barmbek-Uhlenhorst is playing uncertain (in the last 5 games wins - 2).

Paloma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paloma is certain favorite.

Last 6 head-to-head matches Paloma won 1 matches, drawn 2 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 8-10.

Including matches at home between the teams Paloma won 0 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 3-4.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paloma Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
17.10.21	Paloma Hamburg - Wandsbeker Concordia	2:2 ✺
08.10.21	Bramfelder - Paloma Hamburg	1:1 ✺
03.10.21	Paloma Hamburg - Lohbrügge	2:0 ✺
26.09.21	Sasel - Paloma Hamburg	1:1 ✺
19.09.21	Paloma Hamburg - Meiendorfer	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 3.9 TTWTW
- HSV Barmbek-Uhlenhorst
German Oberliga Hamburg
16.10.21	Curslack Neuengamme - Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	7:3 ✺
08.10.21	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Hamm United	4:0 ✺
02.10.21	Dassendorf - Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	4:1 ✺
24.09.21	Wandsbeker Concordia - Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	0:1 ✺
17.09.21	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Bramfelder	2:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.2 LWLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
14.08.21	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Paloma Hamburg	0:2
20.09.19	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Paloma Hamburg	3:2
13.03.16	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Paloma Hamburg	2:0
13.09.15	Paloma Hamburg - Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	1:2
19.04.15	Barmbek-Uhlenhorst - Paloma Hamburg	1:1
19.10.14	Paloma Hamburg - Barmbek-Uhlenhorst	2:2

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