Match Info

GERMANY: OBERLIGA HAMBURG - ROUND 8

Date: 12 September 2023, Tuesday


	Paloma Hamburg		Rugenbergen

	1	X	2
	1.9	3.7	2.75
	1.82	3.86	2.82
	1.95	3.7	2.9
	1.98	4.1	2.97
	1.9	4	3.1
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.91 ↑ (1.45)	3.87 ↓ (5.03)	2.91 ↓ (5.13)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.75

The best margin for this event is 8.6%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Paloma Hamburg
46.5%

Draw
22.9%

Rugenbergen
30.5%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

63.7%

18.4%

18%

Our Initial ML Estimation

67.3%

17.4%

17%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Paloma Hamburg has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-17.2%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, indicating that Paloma Hamburg's form might have worsened.

Rugenbergen has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+12.5%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting Rugenbergen's recent form is better than expected.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Paloma Hamburg than the current prediction. (+20.8%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests a strong performance forecast for Paloma Hamburg, possibly due to key factors that the model accounted for.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Rugenbergen than the current prediction. (-13.5%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests a potential downturn for Rugenbergen, possibly due to injuries or other negative factors.

Who will win by Users?

1	X	2
60%	10%	30%

Paloma Hamburg - Rugenbergen Predictions

Users Predictions: 10 users predict this event. Paloma will win (votes: 6 - 60%). Rugenbergen will win (votes: 3 - 30%). It will Tie (votes: 1 - 10%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Paloma: 29.6% – 90.4%.

Expected Score (Market Odds): 2:1

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Preview

This match a meeting between a mid-table team and the outsider will be held (ranked 8 and 17 in the zone Relegation).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Paloma won 3.

Paloma is in real good shape (in the last 5 games wins - 4).

Rugenbergen is in unsatisfactory shape now (in the last 5 games wins - 1).

Paloma could have problems with physics compare with it opponent - last days they played more matches than their opponents.

In this match Paloma is a favorite.

Our prediction for today's Paloma to win the game is with odds 1.57.

Last 10 head-to-head matches Paloma won 3 matches, drawn 3 matches, lost 4 matches and goals 14-14.

Including matches at home between the teams Paloma won 3 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 1 matches and goals 11-6.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- USC Paloma Hamburg
German Oberliga Hamburg
09.09.23	Düneberg - Paloma Hamburg	0:1 ✺
03.09.23	Paloma Hamburg - Süderelbe	3:1 ✺
27.08.23	Halstenbek-Rellingen - Paloma Hamburg	0:1 ✺
20.08.23	Paloma Hamburg - HEBC Hamburg	1:4 ✺
11.08.23	Victoria Hamburg - Paloma Hamburg	0:3 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 13.9 WWWLW
- SV Rugenbergen
German Oberliga Hamburg
08.09.23	Rugenbergen - Dassendorf	0:4 ✺
02.09.23	Düneberg - Rugenbergen	4:3 ✺
27.08.23	Rugenbergen - TuRa Harksheide	0:2 ✺
18.08.23	Süderelbe - Rugenbergen	2:4 ✺
13.08.23	Rugenbergen - Türkiye Wilhelmsburg	0:2 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 14.5 LLLWL

Latest Head to Head

German Oberliga Hamburg
25.04.23	Rugenbergen - Paloma Hamburg	1:1
31.07.22	Paloma Hamburg - Rugenbergen	2:1
11.10.20	Rugenbergen - Paloma Hamburg	2:1
01.09.19	Paloma Hamburg - Rugenbergen	5:2
20.03.16	Paloma Hamburg - Rugenbergen	2:0
19.09.15	Rugenbergen - Paloma Hamburg	4:1
05.05.15	Rugenbergen - Paloma Hamburg	1:0

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