Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 15 - Round 27

Date: 21 March 2026, Saturday


	Pamplona		Cirbonero

	1	X	2
	1.73	3.3	4.2
	1.72	3.25	4.35
	1.75	3.32	4.4
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.73 ↓ (1.74)	3.29 ↑ (3.29)	4.32 ↓ (4.38)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 10%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Pamplona
51.9%

Draw
27.3%

Cirbonero
20.8%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

52%

27.4%

20.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

53.9%

26.4%

19.9%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Pamplona has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.1%)

Cirbonero has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+0.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Pamplona than the current prediction. (+2%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Cirbonero than the current prediction. (-0.9%)

Pamplona - Cirbonero Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

(3 - 1)

Preview

This match features a clash between the league leader and a mid-table team (ranked 2 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 15 (Play Offs: ) and 11).

Currently, both teams are in excellent shape.

Cirbonero may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

In this match, Pamplona is considered a favorite.

We predict that Pamplona will win today's game, with odds of 1.73.

In the last 2 head-to-head matches, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:2. (average 2:1).

Including home match between the teams, Pamplona won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:0.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
14	Pamplona	5	0	4	1	2:3	-1	4
18	Cirbonero	5	0	2	3	1:11	-10	2

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Pamplona
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
13.03.26	Artajonés - Pamplona	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Pamplona - Subiza	2:0 ✺
28.02.26	San Juan - Pamplona	0:0 ✺
21.02.26	Pamplona - Beti Onak	4:1 ✺
14.02.26	Avance Ezcabarte - Pamplona	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 12.3 WWTWT
- CA Cirbonero
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
15.03.26	Cirbonero - Aoiz	2:0 ✺
08.03.26	Cirbonero - Artajonés	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	Subiza - Cirbonero	0:1 ✺
22.02.26	Cirbonero - San Juan	2:2 ✺
14.02.26	Beti Onak - Cirbonero	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 22.2 WWWTL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 15
08.11.25	Cirbonero - Pamplona	2:2
27.01.24	Pamplona - Cirbonero	2:0

Pamplona - Cirbonero: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide