Match Info
Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday
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Panadería Pulido |
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Real Unión |
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1 |
X |
2 |
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2.12 |
3 |
3.2 |
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2.02 |
3.12 |
3.62 |
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2.04 |
3.17 |
3.55 |
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2.05 |
3.1 |
3.3 |
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2 |
3.1 |
3.58 |
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Avarage Now (Initially) |
2.05 ↓ (2.21) |
3.1 ↑ (3.02) |
3.45 ↑ (3.14) |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.25
- The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Panadería Pulido 44.4% | Draw 29.3% | Real Unión 26.3% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Our Initial ML Estimation
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-2.7%)ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+2.2%)Panadería Pulido - Real Unión Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1 
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Preview
The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)Panadería has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).Real Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).Real Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days. Panadería will hold a modest advantage in this match.In the last 1 head-to-head match, Panadería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.
Standings
| | Pl | W | D | L | | Diff | Pts |
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| 2 | Real Union Tenerife | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 5:3 | 2 | 9 |
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| 8 | Panaderia | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 10:8 | 2 | 7 |
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;