The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by
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Current Win Probability
Panadería Pulido 62%
Draw 22.7%
Herbania 15.3%
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
60%
24.2%
15.8%
Our Initial ML Estimation
61.4%
23.6%
15.4%
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2%)
Herbania has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-0.5%)
ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-0.6%)
ML Model estimates a higher probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (+0.1%)
Panadería Pulido - Herbania Predictions
Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0
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Key Events of the Match
1st Half (0 - 0)
2nd Half (0 - 3)
82', 🟥,
83', 0 - 1, ⚽,
86', 0 - 2, ⚽,
90+5', 0 - 3, ⚽,
Preview
A leader and an outsider will face off in this match (ranked 4 in the zone Promotion ~ Tercera RFEF ~ Group 12 (Play Offs: ) and 16 in the zone Relegation).
Panadería is undoubtedly in great shape (last 5 games: 3 wins).
Herbania's performance has dropped in recent matches (in the last 5 games, wins – 0).
In this match, Panadería is the undeniable favorite.
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Panadería won 4 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 8:2. (average 1.6:0.4).
Including home matches between the teams, Panadería won 1 match, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 2:1. (average 1:0.5).