Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 26

Date: 15 March 2026, Sunday


	Marino		Herbania

	1	X	2
	1.52	3.8	5.3
	1.58	3.76	5.35
	1.53	3.89	5.62	Watch
	1.6	3.5	5
	1.63	3.83	5.17
Avarage Now (Initially)	1.57 ↑ (1.48)	3.76 ↓ (3.84)	5.29 ↓ (6)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.50

The best margin for this event is 6.8%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Marino
58.3%

Draw
24.4%

Herbania
17.3%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

61.3%

23.6%

15.1%

Our Initial ML Estimation

63.1%

22.9%

14.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Marino has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-3%)

Herbania has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+2.2%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Marino than the current prediction. (+4.8%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Herbania than the current prediction. (-2.6%)

Marino - Herbania Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:0

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (0 - 1)
19', 0 - 1, ⚽,
2nd Half (1 - 0)
57', 1 - 1, ⚽,

Preview

This match features a clash between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 11 and 16 in the zone Relegation).

Both teams are struggling and far from their best.

Herbania may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Marino is the obvious favorite.

In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Marino won 2 matches, drew 2 matches, lost 1 match, and goals 9:5. (average 1.8:1).

Including home matches between the teams, Marino won 2 matches, drew 1 match, lost 0 matches, and goals 7:2. (average 2.3:0.7).

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
5	CD Marino	4	2	1	1	12:6	6	7

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CD Marino
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.03.26	Las Palmas C - Marino	1:1 ✺
01.03.26	Marino - Panadería Pulido	0:1 ✺
25.02.26	UD San Fernando - Marino	1:0 ✺
22.02.26	Telde - Marino	2:2 ✺
15.02.26	Marino - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 5.4 TLLTT
- CD Herbania
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
07.03.26	Herbania - Mensajero	2:2 ✺
28.02.26	Tenerife C - Herbania	3:1 ✺
21.02.26	Herbania - San Bartolomé	1:1 ✺
15.02.26	UD San Fernando - Herbania	1:0 ✺
07.02.26	Herbania - Arucas	1:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 4.6 TLTLT

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.11.25	Herbania - Marino	2:2
23.02.25	Marino - Herbania	2:2
18.02.24	Marino - Herbania	3:0
24.04.22	Marino - Herbania	2:0
02.03.22	Herbania - Marino	1:0

Marino - Herbania: Predictions, Live Scores & TV Guide