Match Info

Tercera RFEF - Group 12 - Round 30

Date: 11 April 2026, Saturday 🏁 Finished


	Panadería Pulido		Real Unión

	1	X	2
	2.12	3	3.2
	2.02	3.12	3.62
	2.04	3.17	3.55
	2.05	3.1	3.3
	2	3.1	3.58
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.05 ↓ (2.21)	3.1 ↑ (3.02)	3.45 ↑ (3.14)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.25

The best margin for this event is 8.7%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panadería Pulido
44.4%

Draw
29.3%

Real Unión
26.3%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

41.1%

30%

28.9%

Our Initial ML Estimation

41.7%

30.4%

28.5%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panadería Pulido has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+3.3%)

Real Unión has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-2.6%)

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panadería Pulido than the current prediction. (-2.7%)

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Real Unión than the current prediction. (+2.2%)

Panadería Pulido - Real Unión Predictions

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in the standings (ranked 6 and 8)

Panadería has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 1 wins).

Real Unión has been playing with ups and downs recently (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Real Unión may face physical challenges compared to their opponent, as they have played more matches in recent days.

Panadería will hold a modest advantage in this match.

In the last 1 head-to-head match, Panadería won 1 match, drew 0 matches, lost 0 matches, and goals 4:1.

Standings

		Pl	W	D	L		Diff	Pts
2	Panaderia	8	5	2	1	24:13	11	17
4	Real Union Tenerife	8	5	1	2	12:7	5	16

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- CF Panadería Pulido
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
01.04.26	Tamaraceite - Panadería Pulido	3:2 ✺
26.03.26	Panadería Pulido - Herbania	0:3 ✺
14.03.26	Panadería Pulido - Lanzarote	1:1 ✺
08.03.26	Panadería Pulido - Telde	1:0 ✺
04.03.26	UD San Fernando - Panadería Pulido	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 2.4 LLTWL
- Real Unión de Tenerife
Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
08.04.26	Real Unión - Mensajero	0:1 ✺
02.04.26	Real Unión - Telde	1:1 ✺
13.03.26	Tenerife C - Real Unión	0:2 ✺
07.03.26	Real Unión - San Bartolomé	4:2 ✺
01.03.26	UD San Fernando - Real Unión	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 9.5 LTWWL

Latest Head to Head

Spanish Tercera RFEF - Group 12
06.12.25	Real Unión - Panadería Pulido	1:4

Panadería Pulido - Real Unión