Match Info
World Cup - Qualification - Third stage - Round 5Date: 13 November 2025, ThursdayLocation: Estadio Cementos Progreso (Guatemala City)Referee: Ramos C. A. (Mex)Where to Watch on TV: | |
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Brazil | Canal GOAT |
China | ZhiBo8 |
Guatemala | Tigo Sports |
Panama | Medcom GO, RPC, Telemetro |
Usa | Paramount+, Peacock, Telemundo |
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Guatemala |
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Panama |
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- The most likely Over/Under: 2.00
- The best margin for this event is 3%, offered by

#Advertisement. For Live Stream GEO restrictions apply. Funded account required. GamblingTherapy.org. 18+ Current Win Probability
Guatemala 24.1% | Draw 29% | Panama 46.9% |
Initial Probability
(when we started the analysis)
Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:
Guatemala has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+10.2%)Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Guatemala's performance.Panama has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-18.9%)Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Panama might be facing challenges that affect their performance. bannerPredictions
Users Predictions:
22 users predict this event. Guatemala will win (votes: 6 - 27.3%). Panama will win (votes: 10 - 45.5%). It will Tie (votes: 6 - 27.3%).
Confidence interval (95%) for Panama: 24.7% – 66.3%.Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): 11 Selected Experts predict this event. Guatemala (votes: 4 - 36.4%). Panama (votes: 1 - 9.1%). Tie (votes: 6 - 54.5%).Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:- DC - Guatemala (1.61) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- AH +0.25 - Guatemala (1.86) (votes: 1 - 100%) .
- O/U 2.5 - under (votes: 1 - 100%) .
Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 13 Selected Experts predict this event. Guatemala (votes: 6 - 46.2%). Panama (votes: 1 - 7.7%). Tie (votes: 6 - 46.2%).
Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1 
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Lineups
| Starting Lineups |
1. Hagen N. (G) Columbus Crew 7. Herrera A. DC United 4. Pinto J. (C) Comunicaciones 5. Rosales J. Antigua 2. Ardon J. Antigua 22. Franco J. Municipal 13. Robles S. Comunicaciones 18. Santis O. Antigua 16. Morales J. Municipal 15. Lopez J. Deportivo San Pedro 9. Rubin R. Charleston
| 22. Mosquera O. (G) Al Fayha 2. Blackman C. Slovan Bratislava 4. Escobar F. Saprissa 16. Andrade A. LASK Linz 15. Davis E. Plaza Amador 14. Harvey C. Minnesota United 20. Godoy A. (C) San Diego FC 11. Londono A. U. Catolica 6. Martinez C. Shmona 8. Carrasquilla A. UNAM Pumas 18. Waterman C. Coquimbo
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| Substitutes |
10. Altan P. Municipal 17. Castellanos O. Antigua 20. Escobar O. CF Montreal 3. Estrada C. Municipal 14. Lom D. Comunicaciones 21. Moran L. (G) Antigua 11. Munoz R. Municipal 12. Navarro K. (G) Municipal 19. Ordonez A. Loudoun United 6. Ramirez K. Malacateco 23. Santis D. Antigua 8. Saravia R. Municipal
| 5. Anderson I. Marathon 21. Browne O. Estudiantes Merida 13. Cedeno E. Las Palmas 10. Diaz I. Club Leon 17. Fajardo J. U. Catolica 23. Gutierrez J. Deportivo La Guaira 1. Mejia L. (G) Club Nacional 7. Puma Juarez 19. Quintero A. Plaza Amador 3. Ramos J. Academia Puerto Cabello 9. Rodriguez T. Monagas 12. Samudio C. (G) Marathon
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| Coaches |
Tena L. F.
| Christiansen T.
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Key Events of the Match
- 1st Half (0 - 2)
- 30', 0 - 1, Waterman C. ⚽,
- 44', 0 - 2, Waterman C. ⚽, Andrade A. (A),
- 2nd Half (2 - 1)
- 46', Robles S. ↓, Munoz R. ↑,
- 56', Lopez J. ↓, Altan P. ↑,
- 56', Rubin R. ↓, Ordonez A. ↑,
- 59', Harvey C. 🟨,
- 63', Waterman C. ↓, Fajardo J. ↑,
- 63', Londono A. ↓, Puma ↑,
- 66', Franco J. ↓, Escobar O. ↑,
- 69', 1 - 2, Ordonez A. ⚽, Altan P. (A),
- 72', 2 - 2, Munoz R. ⚽, Escobar O. (A),
- 78', 2 - 3, Fajardo J. ⚽,
- 79', Martinez C. ↓, Quintero A. ↑,
- 83', Carrasquilla A. ↓, Cedeno E. ↑,
- 85', Santis O. ↓, Lom D. ↑,
- 87', Davis E. 🟨,
Preview
In the last 5 head-to-head matches, Guatemala won 0. In this match, Panama is considered a favorite.In the last 9 head-to-head matches, Guatemala won 0 matches, drew 4 matches, lost 5 matches, and goals 3:14. (average 0.3:1.6).
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Form
✺ - easy match;
✺ - difficult match;
Latest Head to Head
| FIFA World Cup | | | 08.09.25 | Panama - Guatemala | 1:1 | | Gold Cup | | | 20.06.25 | Guatemala - Panama | 0:1 | | CONCACAF Nations League | | | 17.10.23 | Panama - Guatemala | 3:0 | | 10.09.23 | Guatemala - Panama | 1:1 | | Friendly | | | 12.03.23 | Guatemala - Panama | 1:1 | | 04.03.20 | Guatemala - Panama | 0:2 | | 10.08.16 | Panama - Guatemala | 0:0 |
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