Match Info

I Lyga - Round 6

Date: 28 April 2025, Monday

Location: Panevėžio futbolo akademijos stadionas (Panevėžys)


	Panevėžys 2		Kauno Žalgiris 2

	1	X	2
	2.5	3.5	2.25
	1.98	3.6	3.15	Watch
	1.99	3.56	3.11
	2	3.73	3.12	Watch
	2	3.58	3.14
	1.98	3.6	3.15
Avarage Now (Initially)	2.08 ↓ (2.35)	3.6 ↓ (3.86)	2.99 ↑ (2.42)

The most likely Over/Under: 3.00

The best margin for this event is 8.9%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panevėžys 2
44%

Draw
25.4%

Kauno Žalgiris 2
30.6%

Initial Probability

(when we started the analysis)

38.8%

23.6%

37.6%

Our Initial ML Estimation

38.7%

23.7%

37.7%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panevėžys 2 has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+5.2%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panevėžys 2's performance.

Kauno Žalgiris 2 has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-7%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Kauno Žalgiris 2 might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panevėžys 2 than the current prediction. (-5.3%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panevėžys 2 that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Kauno Žalgiris 2 than the current prediction. (+7.1%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Kauno Žalgiris 2 could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2 Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH -1 - Panevėžys 2 (1.71) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DC - Panevėžys 2 (1.24) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

DNB - Panevėžys 2 (1.44) (votes: 1 - 100%) .

Verified Performance Core (Selected Experts): Panevėžys 2 will win (6 of 6 users predict this - 100%) 🥇 Gold Tip.

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 9 Selected Experts predict this event. Panevėžys 2 (votes: 9 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 1:1

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Lineups

Starting Lineups
13. Bukel D. (G) 34. Asante I. 66. Balsys D. 55. Chaplanov D. 23. Dzinga E. 97. Karvatskyi A. 11. Lazdinauskas R. 10. Misiunas R. (C) 29. Okpanachi J. 30. Slobodian A. 16. Sonkevicius K.	1. Ukelis M. (G) 54. Bruzas M. 50. Buslys G. 49. Jakubauskas M. 61. Jankauskas J. 45. Lipcius A. 46. Milius T. 83. Nainys P. (C) 41. Rybelis A. 53. Slivinskas A. 48. Stelmokas T.
Substitutes
9. Jusys A. 14. Kulbis R. 18. Puikis E. 21. Pusnys M. 3. Slikas A. 12. Valius L. (G)	95. Bovhyra D. 57. Matekonis R. 35. Miksiunas J. (G) 81. Ovsianko Y. 56. Valiulis B. 65. Vizinis J.

Key Events of the Match

1st Half (1 - 0)
5', 1 - 0, Asante I. ⚽,
24', Chaplanov D. 🟨,
2nd Half (3 - 2)
54', 1 - 1, Stelmokas T. (Pen),
59', 2 - 1, ⚽,
61', 2 - 2, ⚽,
65', 3 - 2, ⚽,
70', 🟨,
78', 🟨,
81', 4 - 2, ⚽,
88', 🟥,
89', 🟨,

Preview

The game will be played between two neighbours in a tournament table (ranked 8 and 6).

Last 5 head-to-head matches Panevėžys 2 won 1.

The game of competitors is shaky now.

The chances to win of two teams are almost the same in this match.

Last 7 head-to-head matches Panevėžys 2 won 3 matches, drawn 1 matches, lost 3 matches and goals 12:12 (average 1.7:1.7).

Including matches at home between the teams Panevėžys 2 won 2 matches, drawn 0 matches, lost 2 matches and goals 6:7 (average 1.5:1.8).

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FK Panevėžys 2
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.25	BFA Vilnius - Panevėžys 2	2:2 ✺
04.04.25	Panevėžys 2 - Ekranas	2:0 ✺
29.03.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Panevėžys 2	1:4 ✺
15.03.25	Panevėžys 2 - Nevėžis	0:3 ✺
08.03.25	Tauras Tauragė - Panevėžys 2	6:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 20.5 TWWLL
- Kauno Žalgiris 2
Lithuanian Division 2
18.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Hegelmann Litauen 2	2:0 ✺
05.04.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Jonava	0:0 ✺
28.03.25	BFA Vilnius - Kauno Žalgiris 2	2:0 ✺
14.03.25	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Ekranas	1:0 ✺
07.03.25	Atmosfera Mažeikiai - Kauno Žalgiris 2	1:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 6.3 WTLWL

Latest Head to Head

Lithuanian Division 2
06.10.24	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:3
20.05.24	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:0
27.10.23	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	0:1
08.06.23	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	1:4
27.08.21	Kauno Žalgiris 2 - Panevėžys 2	2:2
04.05.21	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:1
21.06.20	Panevėžys 2 - Kauno Žalgiris 2	3:2

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