Match Info

Vysshaya Liga - Round 8

Date: 9 May 2025, Friday 🏁 Finished


	Panjshir		Eskhata Khujand

	1	X	2
	3.7	4.2	1.65
	4.11	3.95	1.69	Watch
	3.51	4.23	1.81	Watch
Avarage Now (Initially)	3.77 ↓ (5.92)	4.13 ↑ (3.98)	1.72 ↑ (1.47)

The most likely Over/Under: 2.75

The best margin for this event is 7.4%, offered by

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Current Win Probability

Panjshir
24.3%

Draw
22.2%

Eskhata Khujand
53.4%

Initial Probability (when we started the analysis)

15.4%

22.8%

61.8%

Our Initial ML Estimation

15.1%

22.3%

63.1%

Analysis of Changes in Winning Probabilities:

Panjshir has improved its chances compared to the initial analysis. (+8.9%)

Note: This is a significant improvement in prediction, suggesting increased confidence in Panjshir's performance.

Eskhata Khujand has seen a decrease in its chances compared to the initial analysis. (-8.4%)

Note: This is a significant drop in prediction, and Eskhata Khujand might be facing challenges that affect their performance.

ML Model estimates a lower probability for Panjshir than the current prediction. (-9.2%)

Note: The ML model's lower estimate suggests that there may be underlying issues with Panjshir that the model has picked up on.

ML Model estimates a higher probability for Eskhata Khujand than the current prediction. (+9.7%)

Note: The ML model's higher estimate suggests that Eskhata Khujand could outperform expectations, possibly based on recent matchups or player stats.

Panjshir - Eskhata Khujand Predictions

Over/Under & Asian Handicap Predictions by Selected Experts:

AH +1 - Panjshir (1.92) (votes: 2 - 100%) .

Overall Expert Consensus (including all markets): 2 Selected Experts predict this event. Panjshir (votes: 2 - 100%).

Expected Score (Market Odds): 0:1

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Key Events of the Match

1st Half (2 - 2)
7', 0 - 1, ⚽,
22', 0 - 2, ⚽,
32', 1 - 2, ⚽,
41', 2 - 2, ⚽,
2nd Half (0 - 2)
46', 🟥,
76', 2 - 3, ⚽,
90+1', 2 - 4, ⚽,

Preview

The game between a mid-table team and the outsider (ranked 12 in the zone Relegation and 5).

Panjshir has been struggling lately (last 5 games: 0 wins).

Eskhata's form has been unstable in recent games (in the last 5 games, wins – 2).

Eskhata may have a physical advantage due to more rest days in recent times.

In this match, Eskhata is the clear favorite.

In recent times, the teams did not meet on the field.

Form

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- FC Panjshir
Tajik League
27.04.25	Khosilot Farkhor - Panjshir	2:1 ✺
19.04.25	Panjshir - Ravshan Kulob	1:1 ✺
11.04.25	Vakhsh Qurghonteppa - Panjshir	2:0 ✺
06.04.25	Panjshir - Istiklol Dushanbe	0:3 ✺
28.03.25	Barkchi Hisor - Panjshir	0:0 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 10.1 LTLLT
- Eskhata Khujand
Tajik League
18.04.25	Regar-TadAZ - Eskhata Khujand	1:1 ✺
13.04.25	Eskhata Khujand - Khujand	1:2 ✺
04.04.25	Hulbuk - Eskhata Khujand	2:5 ✺
14.03.25	Eskhata Khujand - Ravshan Kulob	1:0 ✺
09.03.25	Vakhsh Qurghonteppa - Eskhata Khujand	3:1 ✺
Form Coefficient (based on results and difficulties of last matches) - 11.3 TLWWL

Upcoming Matches

✺ - easy match; ✺ - difficult match;

- Eskhata Khujand
Tajik League
28.10.26	Istiklol Dushanbe - Eskhata Khujand	✺

Panjshir - Eskhata Khujand